Originally posted by WOM
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Someone Has To Do It: US Elections 2020
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Biden's national vote total has now gone past 80 million. His percentage lead is drifting up close to 4%.
Interestingly - for some of us, at least - the biggest anti-Trump swings have come in the North-East, in places where they have almost no impact:
1. Vermont -9.0 points
2. Nebraska's 2nd CD -8.9
3. Colorado -8.6
4. Maine's 1st CD -8.3
5. Delaware -7.6
6. New Hampshire -7.0
7. Maryland -6.7
8. Connecticut -6.4
9. Massachusetts -6.3
10. Maine -6.1
I'm not really sure what this means. It's deeply unhelpful in electoral college terms but that doesn't matter as the electoral college is won. And, as many people have said, it's probably useless to take too many lessons from an election that was all about Trump.
I just find it interesting that it's the Democratic North-East that had the strongest anti-Trump reaction. Perhaps if you live in an anti-Trump bubble you hear all the bad stuff and react against him? If you have friends who are Trumpers, perhaps you also hear positive stuff that some of us in Lib-Land never hear?
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An excellent deep dive into what happened in Michigan
https://twitter.com/TimAlberta/status/1331433451363442689
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Originally posted by San Bernardhinault View Post
I just find it interesting that it's the Democratic North-East that had the strongest anti-Trump reaction. Perhaps if you live in an anti-Trump bubble you hear all the bad stuff and react against him? If you have friends who are Trumpers, perhaps you also hear positive stuff that some of us in Lib-Land never hear?Last edited by Rogin the Armchair fan; 25-11-2020, 09:45.
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Originally posted by Rogin the Armchair fan View Post
Does Trump's anti-immigration rhetoric whip up less support there than in southern states? Although as we're talking 'swing from 2016', did his Make America Great Again shtick then attract more support at the time among relatively wealthy and dare I suggest more sheltered voters?
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The difference in turnout by state is the last column to the right in this table
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-natio...r-vote-tracker
The most significant gains in percentage terms look to have been in Trumpy states in the Mountain West. Vermont's increase was just above the national average.
Looking at the margin shift column, one is struck by the shift towards Biden just about everywhere (the New York results are distorted by the fact that it is still counting mail in ballots)
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Yes
Data on increase from 2018 to 2019 is here. The trend should be similar for 2016 to 2020
https://www.census.gov/newsroom/pres...st-nation.html
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Originally posted by Toby Gymshorts View Post
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Murdoch does seem to be more willing to let his minions go all out in Australia
Not that there isn't plenty of material to work with here
https://twitter.com/kyledcheney/status/1331624433983819779
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Originally posted by Toby Gymshorts View Post
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Originally posted by San Bernardhinault View PostBiden's national vote total has now gone past 80 million. His percentage lead is drifting up close to 4%.
Interestingly - for some of us, at least - the biggest anti-Trump swings have come in the North-East, in places where they have almost no impact:
1. Vermont -9.0 points
2. Nebraska's 2nd CD -8.9
3. Colorado -8.6
4. Maine's 1st CD -8.3
5. Delaware -7.6
6. New Hampshire -7.0
7. Maryland -6.7
8. Connecticut -6.4
9. Massachusetts -6.3
10. Maine -6.1
I'm not really sure what this means. It's deeply unhelpful in electoral college terms but that doesn't matter as the electoral college is won. And, as many people have said, it's probably useless to take too many lessons from an election that was all about Trump.
I just find it interesting that it's the Democratic North-East that had the strongest anti-Trump reaction. Perhaps if you live in an anti-Trump bubble you hear all the bad stuff and react against him? If you have friends who are Trumpers, perhaps you also hear positive stuff that some of us in Lib-Land never hear?
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The White House has cancelled a planned trip to Pennsylvania today, according to a media pool report.
It was reported yesterday that Trump planned to appear alongside Rudy Giuliani on Wednesday at a Wyndham hotel in Gettysburg to spread lies about the election. But two members of Giuliani’s circle have since announced positive Covid tests. Giuliani appears to be holding the event nevertheless. He has denied reports that he is earning $20,000 a day to do what he’s doing.
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Some details on what is actually happening with the Pennsylvania suit.
On Wednesday morning, Commonwealth Court Judge Patricia A. McCullough, who was elected as a Republican in 2009, placed a hold on the certification process for down-ballot races pending an evidentiary hearing. State officials appealed to the Pennsylvania Supreme Court later Wednesday, which triggered an automatic stay of McCullough’s order. They then asked the state high court to step in and dismiss the case altogether.
“The Commonwealth Court’s Order threatens to disrupt the certification of every race in the 2020 general election; foreclose the seating of elected representatives; indefinitely postpone the December 1 start of the General Assembly’s term; undermine the will of the voters; and cast a wholly unwarranted cloud over Pennsylvania’s election results,” lawyers for the state wrote in a filing.
Legal experts said it was unlikely that judges assigned to the case would ultimately grant a request to change the rules of an election after the fact in a way that disenfranchises millions of people.
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