Huge game tonight at the bottom. Rochdale 0-0 Milton Keynes at HT. It goes without saying we need to win our games in hand to have a chance of staying up, especially so when we're playing fellow strugglers.
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File under Fylde - Division 3 2017-18
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Well, Blackburn and Wigan drew meaning Shrewsbury are still second, 2 games in hand and five points behind Blackburn and 1point ahead of Wigan having played two games more. I'm hoping Wigan continue their merry cup run and start dropping points in the league from now on. But what I really really really want is for Shrewsbury time beat Walsall because I'm planning to be at that game and I don't think I've ever seen them beat Walsall in several frustrating attempts. After finally seeing them beat Bristol Rovers in Bristol, could I break another bogey team in this mad, mad season? Hopefully.
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One win in ten for Scunny, although the playoffs still in our hands even when everyone has caught up with our 36 games.
Next year's Div 3 with two of Sunderland, Barnsley Hull and Birmingham is starting to seem just as attractive as the Championship. In fact, quite a bit more attractive. Keep it up, lads.
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jwdd27 - what on earth would be attractive about Sunderland or B'ham? <smiley thing>
Originally posted by ChrisJ View PostBack-of-envelope sums based on form over last 10 games gives:
1st Rotherham (95 points)
2nd Shrewsbury (94)
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3rd Wigan (90 GD +100,000)
4th Blackburn (90, GD +90,000)
5th Plymouth (81)
6th Scunthorpe (75)
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7th Gills (75) just missing out on GD, probably.
8th Brizzle R. (72).
1st Blackburn (94 points)
2nd Shrewsbury (90)
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3rd Wigan (89)
4th Rotherham (87)
5th Plymouth (77)
6th P'boro (70)
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7th/8th Brizzle R/ Charlton (68)
9th Scunthorpe (67)
Still unscientific nonsense, but does seem to demonstrate how well-timed Blackburn's cash-fuelled surge in form is, while others have faltered slightly/a lot; Salop and Wigan reasonably consistent and too close to call for 2nd/3rd; Millers and Pilgrims still performing well, safe in the playoffs but, reasonably enough, not quite sustaining their ridiculous points accumulations of the first 6 weeks of the N Year; Scunny, despite a great performance at Wigan yesterday, seemingly now in a 4-way battle for 6th.
When I calculated the home and away points separately for the top 3 (last 10 games for each) it makes no real difference to Blackburn, but Wigan leapfrog Shrewsbury. Both have been dropping points at home but Wigan have more away games to play whereas Shrewsbury have more home games left. The deciding factors may be Wigan's cup-run/fixture pile-up and whether Shrewsbury's pitch recovers and whether recent defensive wobbles are really over or only in remission.
Frankly, couldn't be arsed to do it for anyone else (I've not been well you know!), but Posh and Brizzle seem to rely on home form; the former play more of their remaining games away and the latter have to play Blackburn, Rotherham and Wigan consecutively in April. So they'll slip a little, I'd guess. Charlton are consistently average but have a horrible run-in, playing us, Scunthorpe, Blackburn, Rotherham and Plymouth, plus Bristol R and Portsmouth away. Scunthorpe's 2 tougher games (us, Plymouth) are at home where they're slightly better, so probably advantage the Iron for 6th.
With so many of the top six to play each other, most teams have it in their own hands to some extent. In the end, it's still the 3rd Division so you don't have to be good, just reliable.
Prediction:
Promoted: Blackburn, Wigan.
Playoff Semi-Finals: Shrewsbury 2 - 2 Scunthorpe (Shrewsbury win on pens); Rotherham 3 - 2 Plymouth.
Playoff Final: Rotherham 2 - 1 Shrewsbury. Fucking again.
Feel free to point out where I've horribly misjudged or misrepresented your club.
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Yep, Rotherham look welded into 4th, but their defeat last night turned Rochdale's result into 2 points lost rather than a point gained. But I still think they'll be OK, although they've played fewer games their defence is better than all bar Gillingham and the top 3.
Peterborough now looking good for the Plymouth/Charlton/Bristol Rovers spot.
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Wigan are playing tonight at Bradford City in Grayson's first home match despite being appointed over a month ago. I have no idea what to expect but I am not optimistic and anything other than a win would in all likelihood put the mockers on any last remaining hopes of getting back in the play offs
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FFS.
My wife has just invited our prospective in-laws over from Ireland on the weekend of the L1 Playoff Finals and my sister wants to have my mum's 80th on the weekend of one the semi-final legs.
Don't these people ever consult fixture lists?
Bradford had better get their shit together tonight.
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Originally posted by ChrisJ View PostFFS.
My wife has just invited our prospective in-laws over from Ireland on the weekend of the L1 Playoff Finals and my sister wants to have my mum's 80th on the weekend of one the semi-final legs.
Don't these people ever consult fixture lists?
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Originally posted by Patrick Thistle View PostYou sound like my dad complaining that people have arranged their wedding for a Saturday afternoon when Shrewsbury are playing at home.
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