I don't want to divert the Wenger thread...
(Heads-up: This will get very nerdy and very boring very quickly - don't say you weren't warned.)
My impression of the fortunes of English managers during the time I've been watching football has been that they've undergone a period of decline relative to managers from other leagues of similar size and profile. It's possible that this is an exaggeration and that what's happening probably has precedents in other countries so I decided to examine the data in more detail.
There are two things that arose from the Wenger thread - one was that GC mentioned that this decline didn't just start with the creation of the Premier League but was evident as far back as Howard Kendall's title victories with Everton and the other was Berba's assertion that the presence of one dominant figure in British football - Alex Ferguson - makes it difficult to draw conclusions about the quality of English managers as he was hoovering up honours whenever a non-British manager wasn't.
As my starting point I've taken the point at which the decline is judged to have started (1984-85) and I've recorded the highest league finishes of teams with an English manager since then. I've limited this to English managers only* so no Irish, Northern Irish, Scottish or Welsh managers can be included in the data set. Here are the highest league finishes by teams managed by an Englishman in the past 30 years.
League Placings
What's immediately obvious from looking at the table there is that although they weren't winning titles English managers were doing quite well up until about 1997. Roy Evans finished fourth with Liverpool that season but that was mainly because of a collapse in morale and form after their title challenge had failed in April and this allowed Dalglish's Newcastle to pass them by.
Around that time Arsenal appointed Wenger and Chelsea began their tradition of appointing European or Latin American coaches, starting with Gullit and Vialli. From then on the top of the table is a straight fight between Ferguson/Wenger/Chelsea manager with an exception made for Bobby Robson who had a credible title challenge with Newcastle in 2003. And even the presence of Robson there is revealing in itself when you look at the other names in the list after 1997. Robson, Allardyce, Redknapp, Hodgson - all seasoned pros. The absence of any young English managers finishing in the top six is striking, punctured only by Sherwood in 2014 and even that comes with the qualifier that he wasn't that young and he was building on what AVB had already put in place at Spurs that season.
You could say at this point that this doesn't lead to any firm conclusions about the nature of English management as it could be that the wealthier clubs are too frightened to take a risk on a young English manager who hasn't won anything. But that's precisely the problem as I see it - they've not won anything. Even the relatively low-hanging fruit like the domestic cups or the Europa League.
Speaking of which, let's take a look how English managers have performed in the FA Cup in the same period:
FA Cup
Just seven winners - Ron Atkinson, John Sillett & George Curtis, Bobby Gould, Terry Venables, Joe Royle and Harry Redknapp. Again, all fit the profile of seasoned, experienced managers who lifted the Cup in their mid-to-late period.
Wikipedia doesn't make it easy to see how English managers have fared in the League Cup in the same period but just from looking at the list of finals the only English success I see since the turn of the century is Steve McClaren's win for Middlesbrough in 2004.
As for European success, I'll spare everyone the pain of putting together that list but suffice to say that since Terry Venables reached the 1986 European Cup final with Barcelona there have been no English managers who've repeated that achievement. English managers have a marginally better record in the UEFA Cup/Europa League with Steve McClaren and Roy Hodgson both reaching the final in 2006 and 2009, respectively. McClaren and Robson have both titles in this period - in The Netherlands and Portugal respectively - and this is to their credit but these are the only title victories attributed to an English manager in Europe since 1992.
So it's been 30 years since English managers could realistically expect to win top level trophies with regularity. In this century alone the Bundesliga has been won by a German manager in 2013, 2012, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003, 2002 and 2001. The Serie A has been won by an Italian manager in 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003, 2002, 2001 and 2000. La Liga has been won by a Spanish manager in 2015, 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2004, 2003, 2001 and 2000. Ligue 1 has been won by a French manager every year since 2000. I was going to compile the same statistics for the Russian, Portuguese, Dutch and Scottish leagues but, like you I imagine, my eyes have started to glaze over at this point. You get the picture, anyway.
Even accepting the fact that English football in the last 30 years has been dominated by two unusually resilient and consistent managers (in terms of the typical tenure of people in their position) you'd expect to have seen English managers achieve more success either domestically or in Europe. That they haven't surely points to something wrong with English coaching. There's a lot of factors involved - clubs reluctant to take a chance on an Englishman in case the appointment backfires, the inherent aversion in England to the theoretical aspect of the game - but I don't know if there's any one reason or how the trend can be reversed.
* I know there's an argument - as Bored alluded to - that British and Irish managers are products of the same environment that gives rise to English managers and thus shouldn't be considered separately. I buy into it to an extent (maybe 60%/70%) but I think peering into the data could raise some interesting points so I've decided to adhere to fairly rigid criteria. Allow me that, for the sake of argument.
(Heads-up: This will get very nerdy and very boring very quickly - don't say you weren't warned.)
My impression of the fortunes of English managers during the time I've been watching football has been that they've undergone a period of decline relative to managers from other leagues of similar size and profile. It's possible that this is an exaggeration and that what's happening probably has precedents in other countries so I decided to examine the data in more detail.
There are two things that arose from the Wenger thread - one was that GC mentioned that this decline didn't just start with the creation of the Premier League but was evident as far back as Howard Kendall's title victories with Everton and the other was Berba's assertion that the presence of one dominant figure in British football - Alex Ferguson - makes it difficult to draw conclusions about the quality of English managers as he was hoovering up honours whenever a non-British manager wasn't.
As my starting point I've taken the point at which the decline is judged to have started (1984-85) and I've recorded the highest league finishes of teams with an English manager since then. I've limited this to English managers only* so no Irish, Northern Irish, Scottish or Welsh managers can be included in the data set. Here are the highest league finishes by teams managed by an Englishman in the past 30 years.
League Placings
Code:
Joe Fagan (Liverpool, 1st, 1984) Howard Kendall (Everton, 1st, 1985) Howard Kendall (Everton, 2nd, 1986) Howard Kendall (Everton, 1st, 1987) Brian Clough (Forest, 3rd, 1988) Brian Clough (Forest, 3rd, 1989) Graham Taylor (Villa, 2nd, 1990) Steve Coppell (Palace, 3rd, 1991) Howard Wilkinson (Leeds, 1st, 1992) Ron Atkinson (Villa, 2nd, 1993) Kevin Keegan (Newcastle, 3rd, 1994) Frank Clark (Forest, 3rd, 1995) Kevin Keegan (Newcastle, 2nd, 1996) Roy Evans (Liverpool, 4th, 1997) Roy Evans (Liverpool, 3rd, 1998) Harry Redknapp (West Ham, 5th, 1999) John Gregory (Villa, 6th, 2000) Peter Reid (Sunderland, 7th, 2001) Bobby Robson (Newcastle, 4th, 2002) Bobby Robson (Newcastle, 3rd, 2003) Bobby Robson (Newcastle, 5th, 2004) Sam Allardyce (Bolton, 6th, 2005) Sam Allardyce (Bolton, 8th, 2006) Sam Allardyce/Sammy Lee (Bolton, 7th, 2007) Harry Redknapp (Portsmouth, 8th, 2008) Roy Hodgson (Fulham, 7th, 2009) Harry Redknapp (Spurs, 4th, 2010) Harry Redknapp (Spurs, 5th, 2011) Harry Redknapp (Spurs, 5th, 2012) Sam Allardyce (West Ham, 10th, 2013) Tim Sherwood (Spurs, 6th, 2014) Garry Monk (Swansea, 8th, 2015)
Around that time Arsenal appointed Wenger and Chelsea began their tradition of appointing European or Latin American coaches, starting with Gullit and Vialli. From then on the top of the table is a straight fight between Ferguson/Wenger/Chelsea manager with an exception made for Bobby Robson who had a credible title challenge with Newcastle in 2003. And even the presence of Robson there is revealing in itself when you look at the other names in the list after 1997. Robson, Allardyce, Redknapp, Hodgson - all seasoned pros. The absence of any young English managers finishing in the top six is striking, punctured only by Sherwood in 2014 and even that comes with the qualifier that he wasn't that young and he was building on what AVB had already put in place at Spurs that season.
You could say at this point that this doesn't lead to any firm conclusions about the nature of English management as it could be that the wealthier clubs are too frightened to take a risk on a young English manager who hasn't won anything. But that's precisely the problem as I see it - they've not won anything. Even the relatively low-hanging fruit like the domestic cups or the Europa League.
Speaking of which, let's take a look how English managers have performed in the FA Cup in the same period:
FA Cup
Code:
1985 - Ron Atkinson (Winner, Man Utd) 1986 - Howard Kendall (Finalist, Everton) 1987 - John Sillett/George Curtis (Winners, Coventry) 1988 - Bobby Gould (Winner, Wimbledon) 1989 - Colin Harvey (Finalist, Everton) 1990 - Steve Coppell (Finalist, Palace) 1991 - Terry Venables (Winner, Spurs) 1992 - Malcolm Crosby (Finalist, Sunderland) 1993 - Trevor Francis (Finalist, Sheff Wed) 1994 - Glenn Hoddle (Finalist, Chelsea) 1995 - Joe Royle (Winner, Everton) 1996 - Roy Evans (Finalist, Liverpool) 1997 - Bryan Robson (Finalist, Middlesbrough) 1998 - Steve Thompson (Semi-Finalist, Sheff Utd) 1999 - Jim Smith (Quarter-Finalist, Derby) 2000 - John Gregory (Finalist, Villa) 2001 - Glenn Hoddle (Semi-Finalist, Spurs) 2002 - Steve McClaren (Semi-Finalist, Middlesbrough) 2003 - Ray Lewington (Semi-Finalist, Watford) 2004 - Dennis Wise (Finalist, Millwall) 2005 - Sam Allardyce (Quarter-Finalist, Bolton) 2006 - Alan Pardew (Finalist, West Ham) 2007 - Aidy Boothroyd (Semi-Finalist, Watford) 2008 - Harry Redknapp (Winner, Portsmouth) 2009 - Gareth Southgate (Semi-Finalist, Middlesbrough) 2010 - Harry Redknapp (Semi-Finalist, Spurs) 2011 - Brian McDermott (Quarter-Finalist, Reading) 2012 - Nigel Pearson (Quarter-Finalist, Leicester) 2013 - Gary Bowyer (Quarter-Finalist, Blackburn) 2014 - Steve Bruce (Finalist, Hull) 2015 - Tim Sherwood (Finalist, Villa)
Wikipedia doesn't make it easy to see how English managers have fared in the League Cup in the same period but just from looking at the list of finals the only English success I see since the turn of the century is Steve McClaren's win for Middlesbrough in 2004.
As for European success, I'll spare everyone the pain of putting together that list but suffice to say that since Terry Venables reached the 1986 European Cup final with Barcelona there have been no English managers who've repeated that achievement. English managers have a marginally better record in the UEFA Cup/Europa League with Steve McClaren and Roy Hodgson both reaching the final in 2006 and 2009, respectively. McClaren and Robson have both titles in this period - in The Netherlands and Portugal respectively - and this is to their credit but these are the only title victories attributed to an English manager in Europe since 1992.
So it's been 30 years since English managers could realistically expect to win top level trophies with regularity. In this century alone the Bundesliga has been won by a German manager in 2013, 2012, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003, 2002 and 2001. The Serie A has been won by an Italian manager in 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003, 2002, 2001 and 2000. La Liga has been won by a Spanish manager in 2015, 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2004, 2003, 2001 and 2000. Ligue 1 has been won by a French manager every year since 2000. I was going to compile the same statistics for the Russian, Portuguese, Dutch and Scottish leagues but, like you I imagine, my eyes have started to glaze over at this point. You get the picture, anyway.
Even accepting the fact that English football in the last 30 years has been dominated by two unusually resilient and consistent managers (in terms of the typical tenure of people in their position) you'd expect to have seen English managers achieve more success either domestically or in Europe. That they haven't surely points to something wrong with English coaching. There's a lot of factors involved - clubs reluctant to take a chance on an Englishman in case the appointment backfires, the inherent aversion in England to the theoretical aspect of the game - but I don't know if there's any one reason or how the trend can be reversed.
* I know there's an argument - as Bored alluded to - that British and Irish managers are products of the same environment that gives rise to English managers and thus shouldn't be considered separately. I buy into it to an extent (maybe 60%/70%) but I think peering into the data could raise some interesting points so I've decided to adhere to fairly rigid criteria. Allow me that, for the sake of argument.
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