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Thread: Trump's Card

  1. #11476
    anton pulisov's Avatar
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    Well, that sounds simple and straightforward.

  2. #11477
    anton pulisov's Avatar
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    Regarding the USA:


  3. #11478
    Amor de Cosmos's Avatar
    Don't worry, it'll soon be over
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    Interesting. In the upcoming municipal elections here, voting stations are being set up in homeless shelters and tent cities. Guess US elections are more complicated. That must be it, right?

  4. #11479
    ursus arctos's Avatar
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    It's what the Founding Fathers wanted

  5. #11480

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    Petit Ecolier (milk chocolate)
    While the Founding Fathers clearly never wanted Native Americans to have a vote, it's not explicitly in the text so I'm sure the Textualist Federalists will restore the franchise forthwith.

  6. #11481

  7. #11482
    Particularly neat when you can purge the voters yourself for the election you're running in.

    I mean, I don't think it makes any difference which particular "conservative Republican" is in charge of elections, but I would have expected that they'd at least want to give the appearance there wasn't an egregious conflict of interest.

    This is rather depressing. Any chance of a shift in these numbers, especially in Nevada?

    https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1050342864062955520

  8. #11483
    Ginger Yellow's Avatar
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    I don't think it makes any difference which particular "conservative Republican" is in charge of elections, but I would have expected that they'd at least want to give the appearance there wasn't an egregious conflict of interest.
    Hahahaha. Remember when the Secretary of State for Florida was Bush's campaign co-chair in the state?

  9. #11484
    Katherine Harris? I didn't know that about her, was thinking more of Jeb's role at the time.

  10. #11485
    Ginger Yellow's Avatar
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    See also Ken Blackwell, Kris Kobach etc. They seem to make it a point of pride to suppress minority voters while having an egregious conflict of interest. Not that the conflict of interest is as important as, you know, suppressing minority voters.

  11. #11486
    I'm a Kobach watcher.

  12. #11487
    ursus arctos's Avatar
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    Tubbs, Vox has been good on Nevada.

    Here's an example.

    I think one learns much more from reporting that isolated polling (or much polling at all when it comes to the midterms, really).

  13. #11488
    Thanks, Ursus.

  14. #11489
    ursus arctos's Avatar
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    Nevada is such a strange place.

    It has been “right to work” for generations, but has some of the strongest and most politically active unions in the country. And it’s population is so small that the impact of demographic changes is accelerated.

    And that’s before you get to the Adelson Effect.

  15. #11490
    Gerontophile's Avatar
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    The Heller machine is in total overdrive. We are getting glossy (overhead projector type) transparency adverts through the mail every day now for 2 weeks. There are at least 20 Heller commercials every day (and yes, about the same for Rosen). Heller has the backing of the Governor (who seems to be ok for a Republican), who hasn't backed Laxalt for Attorney General.

    It's going to be very close, and I can't see Rosen winning.

  16. #11491
    Gerontophile's Avatar
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    And re: the population. I thought it was pretty liberal, but recently I am coming across more ouvert right-wing nutbaggery, even by one (ex) friend, who turned out to be a racist fuckwit. If it goes by numbers of votes, Rosen has a chance, but if it's by number of counties won, Heller will clean up. (Not sure which.)

  17. #11492

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    Non-Vegas Nevada is really, really weird. Almost all the towns are really shitty - what towns there are - and the population seems to be half from the scary-end-of-mormonism; the other half are genuine loner libertarian anti-government, off-gridders (there's obviously quite a lot of overlap between these groups). It's enough to make the electorate and population (and, indeed, city) of Las Vegas seem relatively normal and sane.

  18. #11493
    Satchmo Distel's Avatar
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    I wonder if the hurricane damage might affect turnout for GOP in those very conservative FL counties whose big turnout in 2016 gave the state to Trump.

  19. #11494

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    There's some argument that the hurricane is a godsend to Rick Scott, who's been down in lots of recent polling, because it allows a Governor to look important and busy while not campaigning; which is something not available to a senator.

  20. #11495
    ursus arctos's Avatar
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    I tend to doubt that will happen to a significant extent, and that if it does, it would be at best breakeven with the new registrations that were lost in the few days preceding the storm. There is a definite reason why the state government is fighting all attempts to extend the registration deadline.

    SB, you forgot the Basque ranchers and Reno/the NV side of Lake Tahoe (which remind me of New Hampshire in some ways).

  21. #11496
    Lang Spoon's Avatar
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    Basque ranchers? Wow.

  22. #11497
    Lang Spoon's Avatar
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    Wonder if the originalist Supreme Court will find a way to argue against States rights on that one.

  23. #11498
    Satchmo Distel's Avatar
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    Death penalty in Washington state has been ruled as breaching the state's own constitution, meaning that the SCOTUS cannot overturn the ruling, I think.

  24. #11499
    ursus arctos's Avatar
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    There are some really good traditional Basque restaurants in rural Nevada, Spoony.

    Satchmo is right. The Washington ruling means capital punishment is no longer available for any state crimes and that the death sentences of everyone on death row there (less than a dozen) have been commuted to life in prison.

  25. #11500
    Quote Originally Posted by San Bernardhinault View Post
    There's some argument that the hurricane is a godsend to Rick Scott, who's been down in lots of recent polling, because it allows a Governor to look important and busy while not campaigning; which is something not available to a senator.
    Nelson had a tiny lead in some recent polls.

    Is anybody going to change their opinion of Scott or be reminded of him because there's a hurricane?

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