The Sixth Extinction (Environmental News)
I'll probably get crucified for this here, but I guess I'm a lukewarmist, along the lines of a Judith Curry... I've migrated from the small blue ball on the left end to the big green ball after spending a fair amount of time looking at the issue from different angles. I've been in the field of green building for the last ten years, almost all my peers and clients are squarely in the "Alarmed" end.
As far as El Niños go, the last one looked pretty intense, Judith Curry attributes to it the record temperatures from 2015-16:
antoine polus wrote:
So you are a climate change skeptic as well?!
No, the current lack of warming in the Antarctic is exactly in line with predictions from years ago.
Scientists have, for a long time, predicted that the warming in the coming centuries will be the greatest in the polar regions. They also predicted that the warming would start first in the Arctic, but that warming in the Antarctic regions would be delayed until later in this century... and then it will take off there to. It's all built in to the global climate already, thanks to all our previous emissions, and it's all going to happen.
But in the post-truth reality we live in, none of this information matters.
As far as the climate predictions of warming at the poles, the ice shelf in the Antarctic has been growing significantly, contrary to what the climate models predicted.
No, the current lack of warming in the Antarctic is exactly in line with predictions from years ago.
Scientists have, for a long time, predicted that the warming in the coming centuries will be the greatest in the polar regions. They also predicted that the warming would start first in the Arctic, but that warming in the Antarctic regions would be delayed until later in this century... and then it will take off there to. It's all built in to the global climate already, thanks to all our previous emissions, and it's all going to happen.
But in the post-truth reality we live in, none of this information matters.
Lang Spoon wrote: Sweet jeebus, man, not everything is a conspiracy. El Niño is up there with sunspots for not explaining this at all (outside the pure bank failing evil sophistry of Matt Ridley et al).
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