The 2015 UK General Election thread
I'm not sure it is that much of in indicator. That just shows all the people who chose Liberal Democrats as their first choice for whatever reason. A lot of their second places could have been where people were tactically voting against a dead cert candidate, but they didn't get enough votes. In constituencies with more than three candidates there's no telling how people would have gone once they'd voted for their favourite. In fact, people may have been more likely to vote for the candidate they really wanted rather than vote tactically, because they have an alternative vote to fall back on. If anything FPTP skews the results for the LDs because we think people vote tactically. If people don't have to vote tactically then the number of people voting for them could well drop.
Duncan Gardner wrote:
Disagree. It's an indicator just not an exact measure of how well they would have done in a AV poll. In the real (ie FPTP) election they persuaded plenty of people to lend votes to try to keep either Tory or Labour out. In England, none of the smaller parties could manage that.
Originally posted by Jongudmund
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