Irish Times

[Lang Spoon]

Just listening to John Waters on Dunphy now. Fucking hell. Frothing wispy haired bastard.

[anton pulisov]

Meanwhile, it seems liberal unionists have been holding talks with an Irish government official about the possible shape of a united Ireland:

https://www.channel4.com/news/by/gar...ades-of-orange

Saw the interview. The guy touched his nose when he mentioned the high level talks with Dublin. To me it seemed that he was talking shite.

[Nefertiti2]

Lord Willie McCrea called for airstrikes on the Republic

[Diable Rouge]

Latest party political poll - final Eighth polls to be published tonight and tomorrow:

https://www.businesspost.ie/politics...6931?preview=1

[Diable Rouge]

Meanwhile, a Sunday Times poll puts Sinn Féin ahead of Fianna Fáil:

FG 30% (-3)
SF 24% (+3)
FF 23% (-2)
Inds 10% (+2)
Lab 4% (-2)
IA 3% (+1)
Sol-PBP 2% (+1)
Green 2% (-)
Soc Dems 1% (-1)

Leaders:

Varadkar 53%
McDonald 52%
Martin 47%

[Diable Rouge]

Red C Eighth poll released:

Yes 56%
No 27%
DK 17%

Polled voters asked to predict final result:

Yes 56%
No 44%

[The Awesome Berbaslug!!!]

I'd take that. I'd take This.

[Diable Rouge]

Twenty-four hours before the last Prime Time debate, Cora Sherlock withdrew, and "No" wanted to replace her with the Iona Institute's Maria Steen. RTE objected, as she had already been on Claire Byrne, and it now seems it will just feature Simon Harris against Peadar Toibín with 20 minutes until airtime:

https://amp.independent.ie/irish-new...mpression=true

[Diable Rouge]

In any case, it transpires Steen was already booked for TV3's debate tomorrow, so the contrived storm has rather backfired on the No campaign.

[Lang Spoon]

Hahaha. Stein is definitely their reasonable face (she’s a lawyer!), Sherlock isnae.

[Lang Spoon]

Toibin might be able to fake reasonable but.

[anton pulisov]

Now would be a great time for some dirt on Ronan Mullen to come out.

You just know all is not kosher there...

[Lang Spoon]

That man. Fucking Maynooth. He’s pure evil, but he keeps getting in the effin Seanad. I fear he’s never even had a wank, let alone impure behaviour.

[Lang Spoon]

Meanwhile, a Sunday Times poll puts Sinn Féin ahead of Fianna Fáil:

FG 30% (-3)
SF 24% (+3)
FF 23% (-2)
Inds 10% (+2)
Lab 4% (-2)
IA 3% (+1)
Sol-PBP 2% (+1)
Green 2% (-)
Soc Dems 1% (-1)

Leaders:

Varadkar 53%
McDonald 52%
Martin 47%

Can FG or Ff risk an early election?

[Diable Rouge]

Can FG or Ff risk an early election?

Wouldn't change the Dáil arithmetic much, if at all, but once the third budget is passed in October, the agreement lapses, and a GE in Spring 2019 seems inevitable.

[Lang Spoon]

Mary Lou as Taoiseach without being the biggest party by vote or seats? She’ll probably be the most popular leader by far if she continues the triangulation slightly rightward to become the new Labour Party ++(losing a bit of their old base, gaining a new middle class/“aspirational” foothold to compensate). A new Sturgeon the larger party can hide behind. And the Nordie branch focus might keep the old school Shinners happy for a while, at least in B, NW places.

[Diable Rouge]

Steen now withdraws from the TV3 debate:

https://mobile.twitter.com/liseinthe...27721224314880

[Lang Spoon]

What’s going on? Splits in No? Manufacturing a hostile media narrative at the least.

[anton pulisov]

I see that McDowell was on the telly arguing for repeal.

Would that be the same McDowell who was in the PDs who held the balance of power and voted with FF to bring us the abortion referendum of 2002.... you know those PDs who thought that the current abortion regime was too fucking lax altogether.

[anton pulisov]

Looking at the polling from that 2002 referendum, the don't knows broke favourably for the pro-choice side.

[anton pulisov]

Oh, and check out The Guardian's Eastenders moment.

young fella in a tracksuit on a horse and all

[Diable Rouge]

Looking at the polling from that 2002 referendum, the don't knows broke favourably for the pro-choice side.

Certainly suggests Louth, both Meaths and Wexford will vote Yes, Cork SW is the surprise close result that stands out.

[Diable Rouge]

Conservative tweeter Keith Mills gives what I would consider an honest assessment of what constituency results "No" require for success:

https://mobile.twitter.com/KeithMill...18328103661568

[The Awesome Berbaslug!!!]

He's that Gays against Gay marriage freak. call him what he is, A fucking dangerous idiot, and lunatic.

[anton pulisov]

1/8 according to bookies