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The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

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    The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

    With events starting a few days after Christmas, it’s time to get the 2014 Tennis thread rolling. The opening title obviously refers to Brits with a chance of achieving things in the season’s opening Slam.

    In fact, 2014 began at little early for a couple of Brits, as Naomi Broady and Tara Moore opened their campaigns up in a ITF $50k event in Ankara. Both had decent returns, Moore reaching the QF and Broady the SF. Both will move up the rankings at little, which in Broady’s case takes her back inside the top 250.

    Nothing going on this week, unsurprisingly. Only two minor events happening in the world, both Futures level or equivalent in Turkey. Everyone has gone home/to Miami for Christmas, and then is flying off straight afterwards to get their prep for the Aussie Open underway. Or possibly the other way around in Tara Moore’s case, seeing as she has significant family roots in Hong Kong and is playing an ITF $25k event there starting on 30th Dec.

    As for the others, I’m guessing its somewhere in the antipodes for most, but A.Murray and Robson aside, all will have to work through qualifying.

    Let’s start with the easy bit;

    Andy Murray is playing just one event, in Doha from 30th Dec.

    Laura Robson has got tournaments in both weeks going in, Auckland from 30th Dec and then Hobart from 6th Jan. In both cases she is playing an International event in preference to a Premier one, which is a change in emphasis that I completely support. Despite not quite making a seeding for either based on the current entry lists, she will be a bigger fish as a consequence, with the added pressure that brings, pressure she needs to start dealing with better.

    As for the others, that needs a bit more digging.

    Of the rest of the Men, all have passed up the Challenger Tour events in Brazil or New Caledonia in the w/c 30th Dec. Dan Evans and Daniel Cox have both entered and are comfortably above the cut line for Aussie Open qualifying. So presumably, they are putting themselves up for qualifying in one of the three ATP events in Australasia in the previous week. Edmund Corrie has also put himself down for Aussie Open qualifying, but he is currently quite low on the alternates list. He might get in. I guess he has made the trip in that case, and so, like Evans and Cox, will be after a qualifying tournament for next week. James Ward’s name is absent from the Aussie Open qualifying entry list I saw, so one guesses he has passed on a return down under so soon after his last (Ward finished 2013 playing a number of Challenger level events in Australia).

    Regarding the Women, as already mentioned Tara Moore is playing in Hong Kong next week. One guesses Jo Konta and Heather Watson will have picked a WTA event to try and qualify for next week. Likewise Samantha Murray and Naomi Broady, though both were initially down to join Moore in Hong Kong and have since altered their plans. I haven’t seen an entry list for the Women’s Qualifying for the Aussie, but would assume that all have put their names down. Konta and Watson are certainties to get in, Moore a probable, Murray on the edge and Broady starting to be unlikely. It doesn’t help that the Women’s Qualifying section is only a 96-person draw, as opposed to the 128-person in the Men’s Qualies.

    #2
    The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

    Will any outside the recent men's "big four" win a Grand Slam in 2014? With Federer apparently in decline now, Murray maybe having had his appetite satiated by the last two years, Nadal maybe relying on his fragile fitness, might this be a transitional year with some new faces in the finals?

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      #3
      The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

      There's an entry list here: http://www.tennisforum.com/showthread.php?t=624169

      Konta is 5th alt for the main draw and will probably just miss out. Watson is 11th alt and Moore is 11th quali alt.

      I saw a quali list here for the men which Ward is on. He also tweeted on 10 December that he'd arrived in Perth, hopefully he's down there training and will play. http://www.menstennisforums.com/showthread.php?t=378273

      Good news from the doubles entry lists is that Ross Hutchins is set to be back in action, playing Brisbane with Colin Fleming. He can use his protected ranking of 27 12 times this year I think, though without a ranking I assume the team won't be seeded for quite some time until he can build his ranking up. Great to see them back anyway.

      As expected, Jamie Murray and Dom Inglot are continuing with the same partners as last year. Murray and John Peers are playing Brisbane while Inglot and Treat Huey play Qatar. I assume all three of those teams will play the Aussie Open.

      Andy is also playing dubs in week 1, partnering Nenad Zimonjic in Doha. He probably wants to ensure he gets enough time on court if he goes out of the singles early, but it will also be a chance to get some dubs in before the Davis Cup.

      The Skupskis entered Doha but as 4th alternates I can't see them getting a game. I can't see Jonny Marray's name down though, so perhaps he hasn't found a regular partner for the season, in which case maybe he'll rock up somewhere and try to get an on-site entry.

      Comment


        #4
        The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

        Rogin the Armchair Fan wrote: Will any outside the recent men's "big four" win a Grand Slam in 2014? With Federer apparently in decline now, Murray maybe having had his appetite satiated by the last two years, Nadal maybe relying on his fragile fitness, might this be a transitional year with some new faces in the finals?
        Del Potro looked extremely good at points last year and could win another slam, though of course he wouldn't be new. I wouldn't give anyone else much of a chance unless Rafa and Djokovic both have serious injuries in which case it could open up for a Tsonga, Berdych or, perish the thought, The Crushing Bore Ferrer.

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          #5
          The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

          One guesses Jo Konta and Heather Watson will have picked a WTA event to try and qualify for next week.
          Watson is down for Brisbane and Konta for Shenzen, China (is that a new tournament?). Konta is only only 3rd alt from being main draw.

          Comment


            #6
            The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

            Will it really only go down to the rest of the top eight, then? There's no 1982 Wilander, or 1985 Becker, just waiting to burst through from nowhere and shock everyone?

            That's a bit of a shame really. Takes some of the romance out of the idea of having 128-man draws in the first place.

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              #7
              The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

              Seven Saxon Kings wrote: I saw a quali list here for the men which Ward is on. He also tweeted on 10 December that he'd arrived in Perth, hopefully he's down there training and will play. http://www.menstennisforums.com/showthread.php?t=378273
              Good. I've check the list I saw again, and he is there. Must have misspelled 'Ward' in the search function of something.

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                #8
                The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                Seven Saxon Kings wrote:
                One guesses Jo Konta and Heather Watson will have picked a WTA event to try and qualify for next week.
                Watson is down for Brisbane and Konta for Shenzen, China (is that a new tournament?). Konta is only only 3rd alt from being main draw.
                Shenzen was new last year. Robson played it.

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                  #9
                  The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                  Remember that stuff about the WTA points schedule being more favourable than the ATP for players who consistently win a round or two without actually taking titles? Well, there has been a re-jig by the WTA. They haven't totally aligned with the ATP, but have halved the difference.

                  All levels have had their schedules tweaked, but a couple of examples (Slams and run-of-the-mill full Tour events) show the alterations

                  Grand Slams
                  WTA 2013: 2000-1400-900-500-280-160-100- 5 (60-50-40-2)
                  WTA 2014: 2000-1300-780-430-240-130- 70-10 (40-30-20-2)
                  ATP 201xx: 2000-1200-720-360-180- 90- 45-10 (25-16- 8-0)

                  WTA Int 2013: 280-200-130-70-30-1 (16-10- 6-1)
                  WTA Int 2014: 280-180-110-60-30-1 (18-14-10-1)
                  ATP 250 201x: 250-150- 90-45-20-0 (12- 6- 0-0)

                  An interesting little wrinkle is whilst points for non-winners in all main draws and in slam qualifying have gone down, points earnable in qualifying for standard WTA tour events have gone up. Which should make things a bit more fluid around the ~100 mark in the rankings.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                    Will it really only go down to the rest of the top eight, then? There's no 1982 Wilander, or 1985 Becker, just waiting to burst through from nowhere and shock everyone?
                    No. The game is far more physical now and teenagers are barely able to get into the main draw of a slam unless they're exceptional. The chances of one taking out even somebody like Ferrer or Del Potro over five sets is basically zero, let alone Rafa or Djokovic.

                    The top 10 in the world has probably never had an older average age. Hopefully some talent emerges soon because otherwise when the big two retire or decline in the next few years then the game is going to be in a dreadful rut if it's headed by the likes of Raonic, Dimitrov, Tomic and Nishikori.

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                      #11
                      The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                      Hasn't Australia been Novak's best surface? Can Rafa be up for this and yet still be fit for Paris and Wimbledon? Is Federer now so far on the slide that he's out of contention?

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                        #12
                        The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                        It's generally a bit slower than the US Open and the heat can be horrendous, which means fitness and stamina are key and as such it's a pretty favourable slam for all over Djokovic, Nadal and Murray who have monopolised the last three finals.

                        Djokovic has indeed been particularly good there and if he carries on the form with which he finished last season he should be the favourite.

                        I'd still put Wimbledon as being Federer's best chance of winning another slam, it remains the one where he has the best chance of serving his way out of trouble and keeping points shorter when he meets one of the big three. I'd give him almost zero chance of winning in Australia or France but a small chance of winning the other two if he can get back to his level of 2012 when he won Wimbledon with Nadal injured.

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                          #13
                          The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                          Winning return for Heather Watson, edging past Mandy Minella in two close sets. She takes on Q2 seed Chanelle Scheepers at midnight, which will be an interesting test for her; exactly the sort of game you'd have backed her in when she was at her best, but not while suffering from the illness.

                          Konta plays a local wild card in Shenzen qualifying and Robson has pulled out of Auckland with a wrist injury, although it doesn't sound as if it will stop her making the Oz Open. Moore is playing an ITF in Hong Kong.

                          Evans and Ward are going to have a go at qualifying for Doha and Brisbane respectively and Kyle Edmund has been granted a MDWC for Chennai.

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                            #14
                            The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                            Robson's wrist injury is reported as being her left. Good news - this isn't a recurrence of the one that disrupted her in America last summer. Bad news - this time it is her racquet arm.

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                              #15
                              The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                              Watson lost the first set 6-2 but came back to win the next two sets by 6-3 and then a bagel. Encouraging stuff, she'll face Jarmila Gajdosova, ranked 234, for a place in the main draw. That will be tough - like Watson, her ranking is only so low due to a long period out through illness, in her case mononucleosis, the condition which seems to have effectively ended Robin Soderling's career.

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                                #16
                                The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                Ward also won, but Konta lost which is disappointing.

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                                  #17
                                  The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                  Watson qualifies with a 6-4 6-4 win. Great start to her season, she plays Cibulkova in round 1.

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                                    #18
                                    The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                    It is. Cibulkova will be a very tough test, however. She does what Heather does, just somewhat better.
                                    Ward out in q2 in Brisbane, Evans through q1 in Doha. Edmund has his draw for R1 in Chennai; Vasek Pospisil.

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                                      #19
                                      The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                      Evans played a very impressive first set, dropping only four points. His second round will be an interesting one, he's up against journeyman claycourter Jan Hajek. Hajek is slightly higher in the rankings and is ex-top 100 but nearly all the success he's had has been on dirt and he's the sort of opponent Evans needs to dispatch if he's going to become a top 100 player.

                                      Agree that Cibulkova isn't a great match-up for Watson, but Watson ought to be full of confidence after her run through qualifying. Cibulkova didn't have a great 2013 and there's probably a chance of Heather catching her cold.

                                      Pospisil is a stinker of a draw for Edmund, he was on great form in the second half of last year and is really moving through the rankings. That Chennai tournament has a pretty dreadful field and the chances of landing someone tough were rendered even more unlikely given that it's a 28-draw and the top four seeds have a bye. In fact, Pospisil is by far the worst possible opponent for Edmund given he could have had a real chance against some of the claycourters there, let alone the local wild cards or the dross that's going to come through qualifying.

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                                        #20
                                        The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                        Speaking of local wild cards, I see Qatar's two got 18 points between them in their qualifying defeats, both of which were double bagels. An average of 4.5 points per set. A real hotbed not just of football but of sport generally for the 2022 World Cup.

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                                          #21
                                          The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                          Evans played a very impressive first set, dropping only four points. His second round will be an interesting one, he's up against journeyman claycourter Jan Hajek. Hajek is slightly higher in the rankings and is ex-top 100 but nearly all the success he's had has been on dirt and he's the sort of opponent Evans needs to dispatch if he's going to become a top 100 player.
                                          Oops, he's playing Jan Hernych not Jan Hajek. And he lost the first set 6-2...

                                          Comment


                                            #22
                                            The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                            But Evans takes it, 2-6, 7-6 (6), 6-4. He won some 13 points fewer in the match and had far fewer break points so it seems like he played the big points the better. That's a great sign for a player who has at times been mentally fragile.

                                            He plays Taro Daniel for a place in the main draw. I can't say he's a player I'm familiar with. He's ranked 238 in the world, but reached a challenger final at the end of last season and beat Ward 7-5 6-1 along the way so I'm sure he's no pushover.

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                                              #23
                                              The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                              And in the main draw it's a local wild card that Murray's drawn. He's 19, ranked outside the top 2000, his only point coming from beating another Qatari in a futures. Every other game he's lost in straight sets, including 6-0 6-1 to Liam Broady and 6-0 6-0 to Scott Clayton, a Brit I've never heard of. Although the guy did somehow take 3 games and 32 points off Monfils last year.

                                              If Murray actually tried he could probably get a perfect set but I'd imagine he'll play a few levels down like he has against some of his semi-pro Davis Cup opponents, and end up winning 3 and 4 or something.

                                              Comment


                                                #24
                                                The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                                Overall a pretty decent day for Britain.

                                                Evans wins 6-2 6-2 and makes the main draw; a great start to the season and hopefully a confidence boost ahead of Aussie Open qualifying. Not sure who he gets in the first round yet but there's a 50% chance it will be a fellow qualifier which would be great. The alternatives would be Ivan Dodig, who beat him in three straight sets recently in the Davis Cup on clay but shouldn't find it so easy on hard, or Ernests Gulbis. Gulbis is the strongest on paper but can be streaky.

                                                Edmund went down 6-3 7-5 , certainly not disgracing himself. That's probably about as good as he could hope for given the opponent.

                                                Watson lost 4 and 3 to Cibulkova but no shame in that and she's had a great run here to hopefully boost her confidence.

                                                In the doubles, A Murray/Zimonjic and Huey/Inglot both won their first round matches in Doha. J Murray/Peers kick off in Brisbane tomorrow but it looks like we'll have to wait until at least Wednesday for the most anticipated doubles match - Ross Hutchins' return after a year out battling cancer.

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                                                  #25
                                                  The Andy (and Jo (and Jamie)) show: British Tennis 2016

                                                  Damn, seen the draw now; Evans v Gulbis tomorrow

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