Manchin voted guilty.
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I think you meant the other thread.
[URL]https://twitter.com/AriBerman/status/1225167293518315521[/URL]
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By "same allegations" I assume you mean the content of the "abuse of power" allegation and not the label as such, which they made such a meal of. I realize that's an absurd notion but that appears to be where we are. The pres can abuse power all he wants because legally there's no such thing. Or something.
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I don't see any particular reason double jeopardy should (legally) apply at all if it's not explicitly prohibited in the relevant article of the constitution. It's not a criminal trial. Politically it would probably be inadvisable. Not to mention practically impossible.
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If there's a Democratic Senate and Trump also stays in office, something very odd happened in the general election.
But, if there's a Democratic Senate and House and Trump is in office, I think their best bet would be to just make his life utterly miserable rather than impeaching on this again. Wait until he oversteps this badly again on something else.
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Yeah, I was actually just thinking of the Senate going majority Dem, not 2/3 majority Dem, i.e. momentarily forgetting the latter requirement for removal. It's at least conceivable that Bernie the Socialist could be voted down but the Senate could tilt the other way. Or maybe not. It was an idle academic question.
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Yes, that would be a very perverse result.
I'm afraid that the chances of re-taking the Senate this cycle are small at best.
Here is a list of the most competitive races based on the margin last time 'round
Warner (D-Virginia) 0.8
Tillis (R-North Carolina) 1.5
Jones (D-Alabama) 1.7
Gardner (R-Colorado) 1.9
Sullivan (R-Alaska) 2.2
Shaheen (D-New Hampshire) 3.3
Hyde-Smith (R-Mississippi) 7.2
Perdue (R-Georgia) 7.7
Ernst (R-Iowa) 8.3
Roberts (R-Kansas) 10.6
Smith (D-Minnesota) 10.6
If one accepts the conventional wisdom that Jones has virtually zero chance of holding on to his seat, one needs five other GOP seats to fall (four if the VP is a Democrat, given that the VP breaks ties), and it is hard to see where those could come from. McSally (R-Arizona) and Loeffler (R-Georgia) were both appointed by GOP governors to complete GOP terms and are often described as vulnerable, but the seats they hold were won by almost 14 percentage points.
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