New Hampshire. Lost by less than 3,000 in 2016. Not obviously trending away from them either.
Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
Trump's Card
Collapse
X
-
Funnily enough, seeing we were talking about Texas turning blue imminently, I thought the last election was a fairly reasonable place to start looking. And lo, 1,500 swing votes in New Hampshire and we get exactly what I said- the Republicans winning the presidency without Texas, and losing the popular vote.
Will the Republicans in future lose by 2.9 million and win the electoral college without Texas? Very unlikely. Could they lose the popular vote by a smaller amount, lose Texas but still win the presidential election. Of course they could, given the degree to which the Democrats pile up votes they don't need in California.
Comment
-
If Latinos continue to turn out at only 40% in Texas, then Texas goes Democrat in 2032 due to demographics. Get out the Latino vote and it goes Democrat much earlier than that.
Coupled with that, Texans tend to be very pro-Texas. Almost as if they are their own country.
Run a Texan in 2020 (preferentially one who can do well in the midwest), mobilise the Latino vote in Texas and you have the Republicans on the run.
Comment
-
Originally posted by anton pulisov View PostIf Latinos continue to turn out at only 40% in Texas, then Texas goes Democrat in 2032 due to demographics. Get out the Latino vote and it goes Democrat much earlier than that.
Coupled with that, Texans tend to be very pro-Texas. Almost as if they are their own country.
Run a Texan in 2020 (preferentially one who can do well in the midwest), mobilise the Latino vote in Texas and you have the Republicans on the run.
Comment
-
Originally posted by anton pulisov View PostIf Latinos continue to turn out at only 40% in Texas, then Texas goes Democrat in 2032 due to demographics. Get out the Latino vote and it goes Democrat much earlier than that.
Coupled with that, Texans tend to be very pro-Texas. Almost as if they are their own country.
Run a Texan in 2020 (preferentially one who can do well in the midwest), mobilise the Latino vote in Texas and you have the Republicans on the run.
Comment
-
Flake, Collins and Manchin are yes on cloture; Murkowski is a no.
They don't need PenceLast edited by ursus arctos; 05-10-2018, 14:50.
Comment
-
Dems need to primary Manchin.
edit: oh right, too late for thatLast edited by anton pulisov; 05-10-2018, 14:57.
Comment
Comment