No. <Googles furiously> definitely no.
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Interestingly the combined Hunt/Javid/Gove vote is exactly equal that of Johnson so it's not certain that Johnson would win an MPs' vote between himself and one of those if the anti-Johnson MPs voted as a bloc.
Stewart really imploded in the last 24 hours, losing 10 of his 37 previous supporters.
Hunt v Gove is too close to call.Last edited by Satchmo Distel; 19-06-2019, 19:35.
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Originally posted by Satchmo Distel View PostStewart really imploded in the last 24 hours, losing 10 of his 37 previous supporters.
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- Mar 2008
- 18789
- Revelling In The Hole
- England, Chelsea and Tooting and Mitcham. And Surrey CCC. And Wimbledon Dons Speedway (RIP)
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Up to 14 people switched from Javid or Stewart to Johnson - why?
Gove v Hunt still too close to call. Is Johnson bothered which one he faces?
When is the membership vote result announced and how soon after that does Johnson move into No. 10?
Tactical voting.
He supposedly fears Gove more than Hunt.
Week of 22nd July; pretty immediately I'd have thought.
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- Mar 2008
- 18789
- Revelling In The Hole
- England, Chelsea and Tooting and Mitcham. And Surrey CCC. And Wimbledon Dons Speedway (RIP)
- Nairn's Cheese Oatcake
There's no reason why Javid's votes should break in one particular direction so if Hunt's vote shoots up assume that some of Boris's camp are voting tactically.
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- Mar 2008
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Give the Tory Party some small credit- they've embraced the Age of Steam, universal postal services and mass media.
If Johnson's going to fcuk up, he will. Even if being caught on the job with Arlene Foster and a dead horse might not be enough to do it...
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Originally posted by Rogin the Armchair fan View PostHe was in the Bullingdon Club with Cameron, wasn’t he? I presume they all had the same induction ritual ...
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- Mar 2008
- 18789
- Revelling In The Hole
- England, Chelsea and Tooting and Mitcham. And Surrey CCC. And Wimbledon Dons Speedway (RIP)
- Nairn's Cheese Oatcake
I'm not really sure why they even need, what, five weeks or so, for the members to decide. It's hardly going to be two unknowns slugging it out. Their policy positions, personalities, strengths and weaknesses are well-enough known. If the plan is for hustings the length and breadth of the country and then a couple of weeks for the postal votes to be delivered to CP HQ or whoever's doing the count (the ERS perhaps) then fair enough, but if all we're talking about is a couple of TV debates, which are unlikely to yield any surprises, then it seems too long.
I still can't really see any way that Johnson loses. If his poorly thought-through Brexit plans were up against another candidate's water-tight strategy and were exposed as such, I could just about see the CP membership moving to the latter. But Gove and Hunt's ideas are no better that Johnson's.
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