Of course, Johnson's majority isn't that large. There's a slight chance a Johnson-led Tory party could win a GE while he loses his own seat.
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There'll be a new leader bounce. There usually is. Johnson might calculate that he can bring Farage's supporters back into the fold and rout an opposition bitterly divided between Centrists and Leftists (primarily but by no means exclusively over Brexit).
An election might also give him a chance to preen and strut and generally show-off, which he prefers to anything that might resemble work.
He can still be defeated, because he's nowhere near as popular as some think he is, but it'll require some smart and energetic work.
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Originally posted by ursus arctos View PostNef, could you please show your work for "likely"?
[URL]https://twitter.com/davies_will/status/1139059968815042561?s=21[/URL]
It won’t just be a “ new leader bounce”. The media and Johnson are already in a mutually productive relationship. He is a known quantity. And seen very much as one of their own, plus he has the whole heated commitment of 85 percent of the press & TV They couldn’t make may charismatic.
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Originally posted by ursus arctos View PostI'm not at all sure he would get one even with a GE. As you've noted, there is a lot of sentiment on the Continent just to get the UK out, and it takes only one member state to say no.
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Unless all the remaining "I'm not Boris" candidates coagulate around one of themselves by next week this is going to get as tedious as Strictly Come Dancing. Ironically another contest only propped up by ghastly old Tories with nothing else to do.
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Originally posted by Snake Plissken View PostWell, if there is one word we can use to describe Johnson, it is "courageous".
(Sub: Please check.)
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Don't blame me. Blame reading too much Amiga Power in the 90's.
Anyway.
https://twitter.com/sanglesey/status/1139145417021673472
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Originally posted by ursus arctos View Post
Then question now is how many Tory MPs will risk their careers by voting no confidence in order to try to stop No Deal.
As Nef is, I think, alluding to above that means he'll be in charge and have to own the disaster it will clearly become.
That said, I don't think he'll get anything better from the EU27 than May did, I'm imagining he might try and sell some cosmetic retouching of the current deal as a great victory for his negotiating skills and belief in Britain.
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