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    Poland election

    Second round in two weeks. The PiSser has 45.2% on the first round, but polling suggests he and Trzaskowski (current mayor of Warsaw) are neck and neck for the second round. Media is in Duda's pocket, but we can but hope.

    https://www.ft.com/content/570e24f9-...c-7f90e1eb6f85

    #2
    The Polish electoral website has excellent data on the results from abroad - both Ireland and the UK had Duda in third, behind both Trzaskowski and Holownia, and each country represented about 10% of the diaspora vote, though more British Pole results will be transmitted later.

    Comment


      #3
      The exit polls had Duda at 41.2 percent, only to see him reach 48+ as results came in before falling back a bit.

      All of which is testimony to the profound regional differences at work.

      It isn't going to be easy. Expect PiS to announce a new round of handouts for their supporters.

      Comment


        #4
        Croatia isn't any better:

        https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1279850346144284679

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          #5
          Fucking Hell

          https://twitter.com/notesfrompoland/status/1281638130836176903?s=21

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            #6
            Ironically, such is the tightness of current polling, that Duda could finish ahead in Poland itself, and yet be defeated through the diaspora vote, which is soundly pro-Trzaskowski.

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              #7
              https://twitter.com/notesfrompoland/status/1282391227082649606

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                #8
                In Poland as in Briltain the old will kill the young
                https://twitter.com/jakubkrupa/status/1282407007262330881?s=21

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                  #9
                  Still confident the diaspora will swing it for Trzaskowski.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    I have zero confidence that they will be allowed to

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                      #11
                      Is this the first time in recorded history that the board is, by and large, backing a centre-right candidate in an election?

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Originally posted by ursus arctos View Post
                        I have zero confidence that they will be allowed to
                        This is interesting- Krupa definitely worth following tonight

                        https://twitter.com/jakubkrupa/status/1282414479331000321?s=21

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                          #13
                          This map is interesting too

                          https://twitter.com/jakubkrupa/status/1282405287891214339?s=21

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                            #14
                            Originally posted by Nocturnal Submission View Post
                            Is this the first time in recorded history that the board is, by and large, backing a centre-right candidate in an election?
                            France 2002 and all US elections.

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                              #15
                              Originally posted by Gangster Octopus View Post
                              France 2002 and all US elections.

                              Heh. I thought someone would say US Presidential elections but, yup, some of the recent French ones would qualify.

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                                #16
                                Originally posted by Gangster Octopus View Post
                                France 2002 and all US elections.
                                France 2017 come to that

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                                  #17
                                  Shame that when the British electorate faced a choice between a far -right anti-democratic populist and a social democratic candidate the centre right supporters in the board didn’t offer the sane solidarity.

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                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Nefertiti2 View Post
                                    France 2017 come to that
                                    Frightening how fast I forgot...

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                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Nefertiti2 View Post
                                      Shame that when the British electorate faced a choice between a far -right anti-democratic populist and a social democratic candidate the centre right supporters in the board didn’t offer the sane solidarity.
                                      Excellent typo.

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                                        #20
                                        sadly the news is not as good as the typo

                                        fascism and intolerance look to be succeeding

                                        https://twitter.com/JakubKrupa/status/1282466252578082816?s=20

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                                          #21
                                          they did

                                          https://twitter.com/JakubKrupa/status/1282558088529223680?s=20

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                                            #22
                                            https://twitter.com/notesfrompoland/status/1283780674550468610

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                                              #23
                                              Interesting- and that they feel they might as well fight now as grant them a fait accompli for they however many years
                                              who ate these OSCE chaps

                                              did they do the U.K. election?

                                              Observers from the OSCE pointed out in their reports on both rounds of the election that the “public broadcaster failed in its duty to offer balanced and impartial coverage”.

                                              “Instead, it acted as a campaign vehicle for the incumbent and frequently portrayed his main challenger as a threat to Polish values and national interests,” noted the OSCE

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                                                #24
                                                As a matter of fact, they did, though I'm not sure how closely they were observing

                                                The media landscape is diverse and pluralistic. The country has a strong tradition of public service broadcasting led by the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC), along with several other commercial broadcasters and a variety of print outlets.39 Broadcasters are legally obliged to ensure impartiality in their political and election coverage. Newspapers and magazines are less regulated and widely considered partisan.

                                                Broadcast media are regulated by the 2003 Communications Act which sets obligations on standards and content. The Office of Communications (OFCOM) oversees compliance of broadcasters and develops secondary regulations. 41 The Broadcasting Code specifies general obligations of due impartiality and due accuracy and specifies requirements during an election. OFCOM also publishes guidance on “Evidence of past electoral support and evidence of current support ahead of elections”, and other recommendations, which would give broadcasters more flexibility while still requiring them to report with ‘due accuracy’, present with ‘due impartiality’, to give ‘due weight’ to the coverage of major parties and appropriate coverage to other parties and candidates. Complaints against media broadcasters are heard by OFCOM within maximum 15 days by a five-member committee. Exception to this rule are complaints against BBC that are initially heard by a three-layer internal system with a possibility to appeal the decision to OFCOM. Decisions of those bodies can be further challenged before a high court. Parties contesting the election are offered a number of broadcasts on television and radio, depending on their ‘due weight’ as defined by the broadcaster based on the OFCOM guidance. Paid political advertising on television and radio is not allowed. Debates among party leaders are taking place and broadcasters are free to decide their format in line with the Broadcasting Code.

                                                Most of the ODIHR NAM interlocutors expressed confidence in the regulatory framework for media coverage of the election and noted the professional manner in which OFCOM conducts its activities.
                                                From the report available here: https://www.osce.org/odihr/elections/uk/440540

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                                                  #25
                                                  Abortion has been effectively banned in Poland by a “ constitutional” court led by a friend of the effective leader

                                                  https://twitter.com/nowthisnews/status/1321555588401131521?s=21

                                                  women are on strike with support from others -including farmers taxi drivers and miners

                                                  https://twitter.com/joyce_karam/status/1321538564140769282?s=21

                                                  thus thread is good on the resistance

                                                  https://twitter.com/juliawilam/status/1321570367668891648?s=21

                                                  kacinski has called for the far right anf football ultras to attack the demonstrators and defend the Catholic Church physcally if necessary

                                                  Video here

                                                  https://twitter.com/progintl/status/1321397321842806787?s=21

                                                  he has since called for a 10 year prison sentence for anyone calling for a demonstration


                                                  here’s a list of the various ways you can support the demonstrators

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