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  • ursus arctos
    replied
    I've always thought that his mendacity in the context is grounded more In what he chooses not to reveal

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  • Eggchaser
    replied
    In fairness to the odious little squit (Cummings, since I appreciate this description does not immediately identify him in the line up), his description of Johnson's style of charing meetings rings true.

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  • ursus arctos
    replied
    Though tangible proof that Johnson believes Hancock to be "totally fucking useless" proves that he is just like us after all

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  • Eggchaser
    replied
    I see Cummings is dropping bombshells about Hancock and funny posh Boris.

    Curiously silent on Cuddly Rishi and Visionary Gove.

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  • San Bernardhinault
    replied
    Every time I heard him say "It'll be over by Christmas" I had a terrible feeling that it was going to last four years. I hope that he's not WWI levels of wrong.

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  • Nurse Duckett
    replied
    Originally posted by Sam View Post

    The funny thing is that given his own claims to know his twentieth century history, he really should have known that 'It'll be over by Christmas' is a prediction that doesn't have a great track record. When it turns out to be mistaken, it turns out to be really mistaken.
    And when he declared that Brexit would be a "titanic" success. The rancid bag of custard is trolling us.

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  • Sam
    replied
    Originally posted by Patrick Thistle View Post
    Wow. That's not aged well.
    The funny thing is that given his own claims to know his twentieth century history, he really should have known that 'It'll be over by Christmas' is a prediction that doesn't have a great track record. When it turns out to be mistaken, it turns out to be really mistaken.

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  • Patrick Thistle
    replied
    Wow. That's not aged well.

    98 new cases in Wales today. Big drop from yesterday.

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  • Nefertiti2
    replied
    https://twitter.com/hwallop/status/1404488688378204167?s=21

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  • Sam
    replied
    Originally posted by Sam View Post
    Owing to the fact I'm commentating on the Copa América and therefore have to travel to the production studio, I'll be taking public transport on Monday afternoon, for the first time in pretty much exactly 15 months. Going to be an interesting experience.
    This went rather well (the travel bit, I mean. I've briefly discussed the commentary on the appropriate Football thread). I'd forgotten how hot the Subte (Buenos Aires metro) is, and also how overheated office buildings and the like tend to be here in winter – I'm glad I'm not going in every day, or ever for more than about three hours, because I could imagine myself getting a sore throat just from the fact they've got the heating jacked right up and no windows open even though it's about 15 degrees outside. Incredibly stuffy.

    I can't remember whether it was this thread or the vaccination progress one where I mentioned last week that the City of BA opened up registration to 50–54 year olds last week. I thought it'd take at least a month to work through them but when I got home (what an odd four words to type! It's been a while ...) my girlfriend told me they'd announced that tomorrow registration will be open to 45–49 year olds. I know we're all going to be doing this for a long time to come still, but this now has me daring to dream of a spring and summer in which just maybe I can take public transport and go and play pool on decent tables from time to time (the only ones I can ride my bike to are in a dreadful state of upkeep).

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  • ursus arctos
    replied
    https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1404588507562184704

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  • Patrick Thistle
    replied
    Cases have gone up in Wales. 247 today, after a weekend, is concerning. Death rates very low. Another day with zero deaths today.

    Heard some of Boris Johnson's announcement today about putting the opening up date in England back to 19 July.

    Welsh Government anouncement later this week.

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  • Balderdasha
    replied
    Also worth pointing out that only around 6% of Peru's population has tested positive for Covid-19 and less than 6% of the population has been vaccinated. The positivity rate is likely to be low due to lack of testing, but there's still probably a big pool of individuals without immunity, so there is potential for the death rate to increase further still.

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  • Balderdasha
    replied
    Peru has just exceeded 2 million confirmed cases of Covid-19, the 17th country in the world to reach that milestone, and has the world's highest death rate after a revision of its death figures following excess deaths analysis. The death rate there is 5.649 deaths per 1,000 population, or one out of every 177 people in the country has died due to Covid-19. If the world reached that death rate we'd see 44.6 million deaths due to Covid-19.

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  • Sam
    replied
    Owing to the fact I'm commentating on the Copa América and therefore have to travel to the production studio, I'll be taking public transport on Monday afternoon, for the first time in pretty much exactly 15 months. Going to be an interesting experience.

    Leave a comment:


  • Jimski
    replied
    https://twitter.com/trishgreenhalgh/status/1404041503501176835

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  • Jimski
    replied
    The Telegraph's health articles on Covid have mainly been pretty good (even if I dislike almost every other aspect of that paper.) This is possibly because correspondent Paul Nuki is active in the twitter community of scientists I tend to read, and thus actually knows his stuff.

    Here he effectively calls not just for existing restrictions to stay in place, but for additional restrictions to stop the exponential growth of Delta:

    "It makes sense not to pour fuel on the nascent wave of the new delta variant which arose in India, but can a fire that is already spreading exponentially really be stopped without reversing course and cutting new fire breaks? "

    https://twitter.com/PaulNuki/status/1403977668136157185

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  • ursus arctos
    replied
    https://twitter.com/rukmini/status/1403563967172153344

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  • San Bernardhinault
    replied
    I am worried about what the Delta variant is going to do in the parts of the US with poor vaccination efforts. I wouldn't be surprised to see travel restrictions re-imposed between the North East US and the rest of the country in a few months when it takes off properly in the south. We now have case numbers in New England which are getting low enough that you might conceivably be able to run a proper test, trace, backtrace and isolate on each of the cases - with a positivity rate down below 0.5% in Massachusetts it is now not an insurmountable problem to find these people and everyone they interacted with. Combined with a population that's already 60% fully vaccinated we might be able to keep Delta at bay here in a way that's not possible when the baseline is higher.

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  • hobbes
    replied
    Originally posted by Jimski View Post
    The company I work for has already said they won't be expecting people back in the office as normal in 2021.
    Mine’s going for the hybrid model, but they were expecting that to be from 21st June.

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  • Jimski
    replied
    My big, perhaps over-optimistic hope is that the summer holidays combined with vaccination will see this variant off. The main spread seems now to be in schools, and if you remove that vector, it's got to have a major effect. The main worry is allowing so much spread amidst a partially vaccinated population will produce optimal conditions for a new vaccine-resistant variant to emerge. In which case we're toast.

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  • Jimski
    replied
    The company I work for has already said they won't be expecting people back in the office as normal in 2021.

    Leave a comment:


  • Balderdasha
    replied
    Some thoughts about Covid in the UK.

    Newspaper articles are currently hailing that "80% of the UK's adult population has some level of Covid antibodies" whether that's from vaccination or previous infection. Which is great. But.

    That leaves 20% of the adult population, or over 10.7 million people, with zero antibodies.

    There are also over 14.5 million under 18s in the country who may have some antibodies from infection but won't have any from vaccination yet. Even being wildly generous and assuming that 20% of them have antibodies (wildly generous because the UK has only recorded less than 7% of the population as having tested positive for Covid-19 despite having widespread testing including in schools).

    So by my calculations, we have a likely population of over 22.3 million individuals with zero immunity, not to mention people with only partial immunity because they've either only had one vaccination so far or because they only had a very mild dose of infection from a different variant.

    And we're all sitting in a tiny, tiny, overcrowded island which is perfect for transmission.

    I don't think a delay of four weeks to the "fully opening up" on June 21st is going to cut it. It's growing exponentially again and I think we're going to need another lockdown. My hopes of my children being in school after the summer holidays are dwindling.

    If looking for a very minor silver lining, this might make it harder for my company to enforce any sort of return to office in September (current expectation is that I will have to go in at least once a week from September 13th).
    ​​​

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  • Jimski
    replied
    I suspect they'll limp through with schools open to the end of term in order to save face. Of course they'll effectively be closed for thousands (millions?) by the end, what with all the self-isolation and whatnot. Expect the government response to be to tell schools not to isolate entire bubbles, again in order to save face. They're not interested in reducing spread - look at their stance on masks in schools.

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  • Antepli Ejderha
    replied
    Looks like the 21st June grand reopening is off in England, thankfully.

    More than 8,000 new cases were reported yesterday and over 1,000 people in hospital.

    Deaths still remain low but are creeping up.

    It's all deeply worrying to be honest with the government again not listening to the expert advice or learning from previous experience. I can see another lockdown, a fire break one, coming at the beginning of July and schools closing early.

    Leave a comment:

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