India has now reported more Covid-19 deaths than Mexico, the third highest death total in the world (though still 115th in terms of deaths reported per million population).
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- Mar 2008
- 19042
- Revelling In The Hole
- England, Chelsea and Tooting and Mitcham. And Surrey CCC. And Wimbledon Dons Speedway (RIP)
- Nairn's Cheese Oatcake
Only one death from COVID registered in the UK in the last 24-hour period. Weekend plus public holiday, I know, but still terrific news, (unless you knew the one fatality of course!)
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I wonder if, after all this is over (or as close to "over" as it's going to get), there will be a serious attempt to get a reasonably sound estimate of the true levels of COVID deaths and cases around the world, in particular in the countries which, for all kinds of different reasons, have been massively under-reporting. The true ordering of countries by per capita deaths would look quite different from the one based on official stats I believe.
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There will almost definitely be attempts to work out the true death toll, but I don't know how accurate they'll be able to be. Based on the number of countries that are believed to be underreporting deaths, I would guess that the current true death toll worldwide is closer to five million, rather than the official current total of 3.243 million+.
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- Mar 2008
- 19042
- Revelling In The Hole
- England, Chelsea and Tooting and Mitcham. And Surrey CCC. And Wimbledon Dons Speedway (RIP)
- Nairn's Cheese Oatcake
Originally posted by Evariste Euler Gauss View PostI wonder if, after all this is over (or as close to "over" as it's going to get), there will be a serious attempt to get a reasonably sound estimate of the true levels of COVID deaths and cases around the world, in particular in the countries which, for all kinds of different reasons, have been massively under-reporting. The true ordering of countries by per capita deaths would look quite different from the one based on official stats I believe.
Absolutely. I take the mortality figures with a huge pinch of salt. Comparing against the expected deaths statistics would probably be the best way to gauge the true impact of the virus, but I'm not sure how reliable even those figures are on a global basis.
Incidentally I'm as interested in the virus statistics as the next man, perhaps more so, but I frequently have to check myself when I think that I'm starting to look at the numbers like a football table or cricket averages. I'm often far more detached than I really should be. The real value of any analysis of the figures is to spot epidemiological trends that can be acted upon or highlight good or bad practice in mitigation measures or treatment.
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Originally posted by Nocturnal Submission View Post
Incidentally I'm as interested in the virus statistics as the next man, perhaps more so, but I frequently have to check myself when I think that I'm starting to look at the numbers like a football table or cricket averages. I'm often far more detached than I really should be. .
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In the US at least, I've bookmarked and occasionally checked (and may already have mentioned):
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/c...ess_deaths.htm
but admittedly (like many US gov websites) in their drive to be thorough and transparent with the data, I find the details a little hard to parse and have to search every few months for somebody else to do the summations. Long story short, even where most newspapers/sources are saying at least 577k deaths in the US, excess deaths says it 'could' be up to ~100k higher.
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There have been fewer than 100 deaths attributed to Covid-19 in the UK in the last seven days. I'm not sure when that was last the case. Possibly August 2020, or possibly not since the start of the pandemic. I don't know how to easily access the weekly figures.
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