SB, if you take I-88 through Illinois you can easily visit the house in Downer's Grove.
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Originally posted by San Bernardhinault View PostIt is no surprise. And we were already going through a number of banned states. We will be transiting NY and CT but that’s probably permitted under quarantine rules. And, I think, how we behave in MA might not be far from quarantine rules. (Although in MA there is no quarantine yet)
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I got to witness a mask tantrum last week. Mrs. Inca and I went to a state park in Orange County for our anniversary. There's a shuttle bus that takes people from the parking lot down to the beach, saving about a 10-minute walk and crossing PCH. We decided to walk there and back, not wanting to be in a bus with a bunch of other people. When we were walking back to the parking lot, we came upon a woman with her two kids screaming at the shuttle driver that she can't be forced to wear a mask (anyone riding the bus was required to wear a mask). She tried using the fake excuse that she has a disability and her doctor says she can't wear a mask, and that no one can be asked her to prove this under the ADA. The driver refused to let her on. I decided against recording it on my phone. Thankfully other people around her were supporting the driver and told her that no one was making her ride the bus, and she could walk if she didn't want to wear a mask.
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Originally posted by Hot Pepsi View Post
You can stay here for a night if you’d like. I think it might be on the way.
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Originally posted by San Bernardhinault View Post
A kind offer. You won't be far from our route, either. But we're going to have gone through locations that are pretty ropey (Imperial county, CA; AZ; TX; AR; possibly TN) so I don't think I would want anyone to stay around us for any extended period. A hotel gives us the opportunity to not impose ourselves on others - and the room is getting paid for as part of the moving costs.
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Originally posted by Incandenza View Post
I got to witness a mask tantrum last week. Mrs. Inca and I went to a state park in Orange County for our anniversary. There's a shuttle bus that takes people from the parking lot down to the beach, saving about a 10-minute walk and crossing PCH. We decided to walk there and back, not wanting to be in a bus with a bunch of other people. When we were walking back to the parking lot, we came upon a woman with her two kids screaming at the shuttle driver that she can't be forced to wear a mask (anyone riding the bus was required to wear a mask). She tried using the fake excuse that she has a disability and her doctor says she can't wear a mask, and that no one can be asked her to prove this under the ADA. The driver refused to let her on. I decided against recording it on my phone. Thankfully other people around her were supporting the driver and told her that no one was making her ride the bus, and she could walk if she didn't want to wear a mask.
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An update on that missing pillar 2 data for English cases, if anyone is interested: it turns out there's one document published by PHE which uses the full pillar 1 + pillar 2 dataset, and that's the weekly surveillance report. Until last week, the data used to collate that report wasn't made available, but the latest report published last Thursday actually comes with a data spreadsheet so you can see the actual infection rate at local authority level.
Here are the areas with the highest rates of infection for the week finishing 20 June, if anyone wants to place bets on the next local lockdown (a new report covering last week is due tomorrow):
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Originally posted by Fussbudget View PostAn update on that missing pillar 2 data for English cases, if anyone is interested: it turns out there's one document published by PHE which uses the full pillar 1 + pillar 2 dataset, and that's the weekly surveillance report. Until last week, the data used to collate that report wasn't made available, but the latest report published last Thursday actually comes with a data spreadsheet so you can see the actual infection rate at local authority level.
Here are the areas with the highest rates of infection for the week finishing 20 June, if anyone wants to place bets on the next local lockdown (a new report covering last week is due tomorrow):
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Originally posted by S. aureus View PostOriginally posted by S. aureus View Post
California reported over 4,000 new cases yesterday (June 17th) for the first time (per Worldometer).
It was under 1,000/day back in March when lockdown started and has been rising ever since.
26 Mar first day over 1,000 cases; 20 Apr first over 2,000; 30 May first over 3,000.
Mostly driven by LA.
Yesterday morning I posted that California had passed 5,000 in a day (June 22nd), and yesterday (June 23rd) we passed 6,000.
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The USA has officially reached 130,000+ deaths. For reference, this is roughly the same population as Stamford, Connecticut. Or for a UK comparison, it's a little larger than the population of Solihull. It's also a bigger number than the population of Micronesia.
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6 deaths reported in Wales today.
I see some figures that aren't publicised (as far as I know) and there aren't many people in intensive care. A lot of the ones who are there, though, have been there for over 14 days. The grim reality is that the longer you are in intensive care the less likely you are to make it out alive.
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Originally posted by ursus arctos View PostSeven day average of new reported cases per 100,000 residents.
Idaho seems like a bit of an outlier, mind you. Most of the states with out of control rises right now are places that (a) weren't hit badly initially so people are still socialising; and (b) are basically unliveable without air-conditioning at this time of year meaning that people are doing their socialising indoors. Generally, Idaho's not so brutally vile and hot that you can't sit outside with your beer and burger, unlike Texas or Arizona in June.
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Originally posted by San Bernardhinault View Post
Idaho seems like a bit of an outlier, mind you. Most of the states with out of control rises right now are places that (a) weren't hit badly initially so people are still socialising; and (b) are basically unliveable without air-conditioning at this time of year meaning that people are doing their socialising indoors. Generally, Idaho's not so brutally vile and hot that you can't sit outside with your beer and burger, unlike Texas or Arizona in June.
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It's supposed to be around 110 F in Phoenix this weekend. That's not atypical, although I suppose there may be more 105+ days than there used to be.
https://kjzz.org/content/687576/qaz-...getting-hotter
This is in JAMA today, a study of excess deaths by some people at VCU and Yale. Sobering.
Between March 1, 2020, and April 25, 2020, a total of 505 059 deaths were reported in the US; 87 001 (95% CI, 86 578-87 423) were excess deaths, of which 56 246 (65%) were attributed to COVID-19. In 14 states, more than 50% of excess deaths were attributed to underlying causes other than COVID-19; these included California (55% of excess deaths) and Texas (64% of excess deaths) (Table). The 5 states with the most COVID-19 deaths experienced large proportional increases in deaths from nonrespiratory underlying causes, including diabetes (96%), heart diseases (89%), Alzheimer disease (64%), and cerebrovascular diseases (35%) (Figure). New York City experienced the largest increases in nonrespiratory deaths, notably from heart disease (398%) and diabetes (356%).
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These estimates suggest that the number of COVID-19 deaths reported in the first weeks of the pandemic captured only two-thirds of excess deaths in the US. Potential explanations include delayed reporting of COVID-19 deaths and misattribution of COVID-19 deaths to other respiratory illnesses (eg, pneumonia) or to nonrespiratory causes reflecting complications of COVID-19 (eg, coagulopathy, myocarditis). Few excess deaths involved pneumonia or influenza as underlying causes.
This study has limitations, including the reliance on provisional data, potentially inaccurate death certificates, and modeling assumptions. For example, modeling epidemiologic, instead of calendar, years would reduce the excess deaths estimate to 73 524.
Large increases in mortality from heart disease, diabetes, and other diseases were observed. Further investigation is required to determine the extent to which these trends represent nonrespiratory manifestations of COVID-19 or secondary pandemic mortality caused by disruptions in society that diminished or delayed access to health care and the social determinants of health (eg, jobs, income, food security).This study uses data from the National Center for Health Statistics to estimate the excess deaths (ie, the difference between observed and expected deaths) in tLast edited by Hot Pepsi; 01-07-2020, 17:16.
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Phoenix is 104 today (40C) - up to 111 (44C) by the weekend. Houston, Austin, San Antonio and Dallas all have highs around 100 (give or take) all week, but also have high humidity - Dallas apparently "feels like 108" at 3pm today according to weather.com. Miami is "only" 90F, but again they have "heat index readings" above 105 with a warning associated with it.
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