Covid-19 pandemic

[Logan Mountstuart]

Still no figures today. Have they given up on these as well now?

[Snake Plissken]

https://twitter.com/DHSCgovuk/status/1278786212279566336

[Snake Plissken]

30,000 positive cases just... disappeared.

[Balderdasha]

Wtf? Yesterday it was 313,483 positive cases...

[Fussbudget]

Big lol at people trying to make graphs out of that data

https://twitter.com/ganeshran/status/1278788373675679745

[Fussbudget]

Here's the explanation, which seems an entertainingly convoluted way to say that their data is all over the place and full of errors:

2 July notes

To ensure consistent reporting across all pillars we have paused reporting the number of people tested due to an issue with the data for pillar 2.

We have updated the methodology of reporting positive cases, to remove duplicates within and across pillars 1 and 2, to ensure that a person who tests positive is only counted once. Methodologies between nations differ and we will be making future revisions to align approaches as much as possible across the 4 nations.

Due to this change, and a revision of historical data in pillar 1, the cumulative total for positive cases is 30,302 lower than if you added the daily figure to yesterday’s total. We will revise the methodology note explaining this in more detail in due course.

The total number of tests has been revised since yesterday’s total after the following changes to the historical data:

• 369 tests added from the pillar 1 cumulative total
• 133 tests added to the pillar 2 cumulative total
• 26 tests added to the pillar 3 cumulative total

The daily tests reported today have been added to this revised total rather than the total reported yesterday, so the cumulative total today is 528 higher than if you added the daily tests to yesterday’s total.

For pillar 2, the cumulative number of in-person tests today is 119 lower than if you added the daily tests to yesterday’s total, and the cumulative number of delivery route tests is 252 higher.

[Patrick Thistle]

8 deaths in Wales today. We still report data over here.

[Diable Rouge]

Irish CMO, Tony Honohan, has resigned due to a dreadful family setback:

https://twitter.com/CMOIreland/status/1278776490344304645

[Balderdasha]

The UK's death toll hasn't had the same readjustment. It's now 43,995, or roughly the population of Middleton in Greater Manchester.

[Balderdasha]

Ecuador has now recorded more deaths due to Covid-19 than China.

[ursus arctos]

https://twitter.com/patriciamazzei/status/1278827331369476096

[Nefertiti2]

Vietnam

NO DEATHS

it's mindlblowing

NO DEATHS

Vietnam

https://twitter.com/Lyoungster2/status/1278749413670899713?s=20

[Moonlight Shadow]

There was a story about their last patient on ventilator, they so wanted him to survive they kept him 68 days on it. Normally it gets switched off a lot earlier. A Scot as it happens...

[Fussbudget]

Laos hasn't had any deaths either, Myanmar's had 6. They both started closing things down and warning their population before they'd even had their first case.

[Nefertiti2]

Yes but Vietnam has almost a hundred million people, aborder with China a lot of tourism from Europe and the US.-‘

and no deaths.

[elguapo4]

Irish CMO, Tony Honohan, has resigned due to a dreadful family setback:

https://twitter.com/CMOIreland/status/1278776490344304645

I had heard that he was stepping down, but hadn't heard the reason, that's awful news.

[Rogin the Armchair fan]

The UK government will publish a list of "over 50 countries" which it will accept travellers from without any restrictions later today. Basically, it's the government having to admit that there are over 50 countries who have much lower rates of infection than the UK, without actually saying so.

[pebblethefish]

I reckon I could name 50 without recourse to any aids. In fact, I was trying to think of 50 worse, and managed five, of which I'm unsure about two.

[ad hoc]

It will be interesting to see if the US is on the list. I mean clearly no nation in its right mind would be allowing free access to anyone coming from the US at the moment, but, then the UK is not in its right mind, and everything seems to be done on economic grounds - and with the EU putting a blanket ban on travellers from the US they might see this as an opportunity.

[Patrick Thistle]

[Fussbudget]

If they allow visitors from the US with no quarantine or checks we might as well do away with whatever remaining restrictions are still in place here, because there would be no clearer sign that they have totally given up.

Yes but Vietnam has almost a hundred million people, aborder with China a lot of tourism from Europe and the US.-‘

and no deaths.

Oh I agree that their situation is particularly impressive. There are a whole lot of countries (many of them poor and bordering China) that have dealt with this really well by being aggressively proactive, and it's worth highlighting this every time someone argues that "there is nothing else we could have done, this is a new virus, no country on Earth has handled this well etc." (which I see trotted out all the bloody time in the face of all available evidence.)

[Balderdasha]

11 million cases worldwide. Took us six days to increase by another million.

[Balderdasha]

So, this readjustment of the UK's cases. If it is an accurate readjustment our death toll suggests that we are massively, massively undertesting. The previous figures suggested that 14% of people who tested positively for Covid-19 ended up dying from it, which was already way higher than most countries. The new figure suggests that 15.5% of people with Covid-19 are dying in the UK.

For comparison, globally, only 4.76% of people who have been diagnosed with Covid-19 have died from it.

[Balderdasha]

Lowering our infected tally also means that, in theory, Peru and Chile have now reported more cases than the UK, yet those countries have only reported around 10,000 and 6,000 deaths respectively.

[Balderdasha]

Mexico has now reported more deaths than Spain.