Originally posted by Hot Pepsi
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I wrote the note below to an Australian pal just after the election result. Time has moved on a little.
On the political front, nobody really saw that coming, well not to that extent. Re another Indy vote, the SNP will seek one in a week or so but Westminster will knock it back. The SNP don’t really want one now. It’s just too close to call – for both sides. If it’s a second NAW! Then it’s truly gassed for a generation. If the Tories play cute and avoid playing the Imperial masters and throw enough crumbs our way then there probably won’t be a real push for Indy 2 anyway but that’s quite a big ask with these cunts. There is a formula that means we get 10% of any additional UK spending so expect that to be looked at very closely.
Brexit isn’t ‘done’ despite the rhetoric. We will be out in January but a trade deal will take years. I suspect we’ll be out on ‘No Deal’ in a year then. If things really fall apart economically next year and the SNP win a big majority ie more than 50% of MSPs for Indy in the 2021 Scottish elections, there will be a big push for another Indy referendum thereafter. But we have proportional representation voting which makes getting a really big majority very difficult.
Legally, Westminster can refuse but in the right circumstances they’ll find that very hard. But, depending on economics and politics, they might have shifted so far along the fascist spectrum by then that they don’t care about just saying no or actually encourage us to fuck off. They are quite happy to shaft Norn Iron right now so who knows? What I do know is that any referendum would be very, very dirty and cause huge splits in Scotland and UK. And we would undoubtedly get shafted. I’m not saying that should stop it but it will colour a lot of views.
But hey, Boris might build his 40 (6 actually) new hospitals, employ his 50,000 (well 20,000 of them aren’t technical ‘new’) new nurses and 20,000 (roughly the number the Tories have cut in last decade) new police and oversee an economic miracle the makes us great again!
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I'm sure I read somewhere recently that renewables contribute 75% of Scotland's energy needs and that we export 25% of our energy capacity. I need to check that but we are doing reasonably well on that front. In fact, I think the UK as a whole has a 'good' record re fighting the Climate Emergency. Not good enough but in comparison to other major economies, a new lignite mine Mutti?
Interesting re the whole fossil fuel angle and its potential effect on Scotland's economy. Unfortunately, I think we'll need the fossil fuels right up until those fires reach London, New York and Beijing. Unless something quite remarkable happens in the very near future. You know, all the countries of the world come together and agree a plan that saves the world. Yes, a huge amount of money needs spending on mitigation but we need huge amounts spent on research into the likes of wave power. It has to be better than wind or solar. It comes in and goes out every day. Set up teams across the world and throw billions at them. Give them all the engineers, scientists and inventors they need and say 'crack on, you have 12 months'. Be doing that with hundreds of other ideas too.
I fear now that if we don't, and don't start acting quickly and collectively, all the money in the world will be worthless.
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