The last day of term is reportedly the 13th at most universities, though I understand that many students leave before then.
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General Election, December 2019
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In Ireland an election midweek or during term time depresses ver kids vote, as most are registered by their mammy in the family home. Bar the marriage ref, almost all elections here happen midweek during term time, ensuring a low youth vote to the benefit of the centre right shites that shall rule forever.
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If the SNP win around 45-50 seats (taking at least 9 from the Tories) and the Tories lose a further 20-30 around London, I just can't see the Tories making up the difference in Oop North Brexit Labour seats.
Right now I'm placing my trust in my man John Curtice and predicting a hung Parliament where Labour have the best chance of cobbling together a minority Govt. If it means Indyref2 is the price so much the better.
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Originally posted by San Bernardhinault View PostMy feeling is that this will be disastrous. But I also think that nobody really had any choice.
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Originally posted by Lang Spoon View PostIf the SNP win around 45-50 seats (taking at least 9 from the Tories) and the Tories lose a further 20-30 around London, I just can't see the Tories making up the difference in Oop North Brexit Labour seats.
Right now I'm placing my trust in my man John Curtice and predicting a hung Parliament where Labour have the best chance of cobbling together a minority Govt. If it means Indyref2 is the price so much the better.
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- Mar 2008
- 18792
- Revelling In The Hole
- England, Chelsea and Tooting and Mitcham. And Surrey CCC. And Wimbledon Dons Speedway (RIP)
- Nairn's Cheese Oatcake
Originally posted by tuckwat View PostSo is the fixed term Parliament act gone now? Corbyn could call the next election for Spring 2025.
Well, there seems to a widespread feeling that it's a bad act that should be amended or repealed. It's purpose was to keep the Conservative-LibDem coalition government together rather than for any, nobler ideal.
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- Dec 2013
- 1578
- NW Glasgow (aka Bearsden)
- Partick Thistle, Scotland, Leeds United
- Choc Digestive (milk)
Originally posted by Lang Spoon View PostIf the SNP win around 45-50 seats (taking at least 9 from the Tories) and the Tories lose a further 20-30 around London, I just can't see the Tories making up the difference in Oop North Brexit Labour seats.
Right now I'm placing my trust in my man John Curtice and predicting a hung Parliament where Labour have the best chance of cobbling together a minority Govt. If it means Indyref2 is the price so much the better.
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- Jun 2017
- 2968
- A long way from Utopia.
- India, Ireland & numerous, numerous ABscenarios...
- Far too many, currently...
Originally posted by Lang Spoon View PostIf the SNP win around 45-50 seats (taking at least 9 from the Tories) and the Tories lose a further 20-30 around London, I just can't see the Tories making up the difference in Oop North Brexit Labour seats.
Right now I'm placing my trust in my man John Curtice and predicting a hung Parliament where Labour have the best chance of cobbling together a minority Govt. If it means Indyref2 is the price so much the better.
But as good as it'll get. Labour vote extremely vulnerable currently though.
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Put me in the pessimistic camp. Johnson is going to get his majority. Farage, who has criticised the deal as not being real Brexit, will find a way to turn a blind eye to that and get into bed with the Tories and that will be that. Labour's position, nowhere near as confusing as opponents like to make out, isn't as straightforward as get Brexit done or revoke article 50. Those two simple messages will win the day in England and Wales and don't be surprised if the Tories hold on to quite a few of those seats in Scotland.
I thought Johnson's treatment of the loyalists in Northern Ireland would lose him quite a lot of votes in the West of Scotland. However, and i know this is anecdotal, my friends who you would say have a loyalist leaning love Johnson because he attacks Corbyn for his supposed backing of the IRA. No matter how many times i point out that the DUP see Johnson as threatening the Union they just reply with, "yeah but what about Corbyn or that Sturgeon?"
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