I've no data to back me up, but I've been annoying my family by being right twice in four days with my theory that the team that misses first more often than not goes on to win the shootout.
I don't have the energy to look into this statistically, but my memory says that anecdotally it seems that way. My theory is that the team that falls behind relaxes more because it already thinks it's half way to losing, and so is under less pressure. The team that's gone ahead, meanwhile, gets either slightly complacent and thinks it's half way to winning, or the pressure of being ahead and being so close to winning gets to them, and they start missing.
When its opponents miss, the team that was behind suddenly has new psychological momentum, just as a team that equalizes in a game often goes on to win.
For the sake of my family (and for my sake, so they hate me less for seeming to be right), please go ahead and blast some holes in this theory.
I don't have the energy to look into this statistically, but my memory says that anecdotally it seems that way. My theory is that the team that falls behind relaxes more because it already thinks it's half way to losing, and so is under less pressure. The team that's gone ahead, meanwhile, gets either slightly complacent and thinks it's half way to winning, or the pressure of being ahead and being so close to winning gets to them, and they start missing.
When its opponents miss, the team that was behind suddenly has new psychological momentum, just as a team that equalizes in a game often goes on to win.
For the sake of my family (and for my sake, so they hate me less for seeming to be right), please go ahead and blast some holes in this theory.
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