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Cricket World Cup 2019
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South Africa are headed for a big total whereas India seem to be cruising home. Australia are going to get the tougher semi-final if they don't pull off probably the biggest successful chase of the tournament, probably on a wicket that will get lower and slower. OTOH Warner, Finch, Smith...
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189 opening stand. India were on course for the highest chase without losing a wicket in World Cup history. Still a very one-sided game.Last edited by Satchmo Distel; 06-07-2019, 16:34.
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It's easier to bat when the bounce is fast and consistent because you can convert that into timed shots. It's harder to time the ball when the pace gets slower and bounce lower, and the pattern has been that this affects teams batting second in current English conditions.
Australia will need to bat first and get a big ton from one of their top four, but the same is true for England.
I haven't checked the odds but assume India have become tournament favourites due to the easier semi-final.
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As well as the pitch issues that Satchmo correctly describes, there's added pressure batting second having to keep up with the run rate. This is exacerbated when the pitch isn't true. But India and England in particular have fine recent records batting second so they should be able to win even if they do lose the toss.
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I was wondering why I had so few memories of India-NZ at the World Cup, and it turns out that there's a good reason for that. They hardly ever play each other, at least in this century. Kept apart in pools (earlier formats) and missing each other in the knockout stages. Try this one - Who was man of the match last time NZ beat India (1999)?
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We should point out to HP that in the past batting first has been much harder. If morning conditions are damp, the ball can move in the air more making scoring much harder and meaning wickets fall. For reasons that aren't clear to me, that appears not to be an issue in this tournament. And, often in the past it's been easier to chase run batting second because you can pace yourself, you don't try and score faster than you need to so you are better able to control how much risk you need to take.
But if you're chasing very high scores - anything over 300, certainly - that seems to reverse; the pressure is there from there from the start and teams batting second have lost wickets early. So the new paradigm with a higher scoring game seems to have made batting first highly preferable.
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