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Throwing your money away - Betting 2018-19

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    Throwing your money away - Betting 2018-19

    Here we go again, then. Starting off with an ambitious and doomed-to-fail Championship treble of home wins.

    Bristol City v Nottm Forest
    Ipswich Town v Blackburn
    Preston v QPR

    I'm putting an even-money (or thereabouts) double on each week. This week it's on Airdrie and Peterhead.


      I've switched to 'both teams to score' (BTTS) multiples now. Annoyingly got four out of five last weekend so am dropping to a BTTS treble for Saturday:

      Portsmouth v Wycombe
      Aston Villa v Sheff Wed
      West Brom v Millwall

      But so far the only successful bet I've had out of six of late was Lewis Hamilton to win the Singapore GP.


        This site is quite useful for BTTS statistics.

        Leagues sorted by % of matches where both teams scored so far this season:

        67% Bundesliga
        61% League One
        57%= Ligue 1, Premier League
        56%= Scottish League One, Eredivisie
        54% Championship
        50% Scottish Championship
        49%= La Liga, League Two
        42% Scottish Premier
        41% Serie A (though Milan and Sassuolo are honourable exceptions here)
        35% Scottish League Two
        Last edited by Kevin S; 28-09-2018, 11:05.


          So, for my tips, I think this is a decent list to be selecting BTTS from this weekend:

          Hoffenheim v Fizzy Drink Leipzig
          Wolfsburg v Gladbach
          Walsall v Accrington Stanley
          Rochdale v Portsmouth
          Caen v Amiens
          Everton v Fulham
          Newcastle v Leicester
          Arsenal v Watford
          Arbroath v Airdrie
          Dumbarton v Raith
          Heerenveen v ADO Den Haag
          Heracles v FC Emmen
          Blackburn v Nottm Forest
          Last edited by Kevin S; 28-09-2018, 11:18.


            And I'm going for four matches:

            Arbroath v Airdrie
            Caen v Amiens
            Walsall v Accrington
            Wolfsburg v Mgladbach

            Which comes to 7.64/1.


              Ha, a goal apiece in the German game after 12 mins.

              Thinking about it a bit, I like BTTS because

              a) As soon as both teams have scored, it's in the bank - unlike e.g. backing a winning team who throw it away,
              b) Your bets are also technically alive right up to the final whistle.


                Only two of the four right on my coupon last weekend, oops. Overall, my tips worked out with 8 correct and 5 not, so that wasn't very good either.

                Y Hoffenheim v Fizzy Drink Leipzig
                Y Wolfsburg v Gladbach
                N Walsall v Accrington Stanley
                Y Rochdale v Portsmouth
                N Caen v Amiens
                N Everton v Fulham
                N Newcastle v Leicester
                N Arsenal v Watford
                Y Arbroath v Airdrie
                Y Dumbarton v Raith
                Y Heerenveen v ADO Den Haag
                Y Heracles v FC Emmen
                Y Blackburn v Nottm Forest


                  What do I like this weekend, then? Here's ten suggestions for BTTS.

                  Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg (Friday)
                  Hoffenheim v Eintracht Frankfurt
                  Airdrie Utd v Brechin
                  Raith v Arbroath
                  Millwall v Aston Villa
                  Norwich v Stoke
                  FC Emmen v Fortuna Sittard
                  Leicester v Everton
                  Neuchatel Xamax v FC Sion
                  St Gallen v Basel


                    Just picked the three, at 3.13/1:

                    Millwall v Aston Villa
                    Raith v Arbroath
                    Emmen v Fortuna Sittard



                      And of the overall tips:

                      N Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg (Friday)
                      Y Hoffenheim v Eintracht Frankfurt
                      Y Airdrie Utd v Brechin
                      Y Raith v Arbroath
                      Y Millwall v Aston Villa
                      N Norwich v Stoke
                      Y FC Emmen v Fortuna Sittard
                      Y Leicester v Everton
                      Y Neuchatel Xamax v FC Sion
                      Y St Gallen v Basel

                      That's 8/10, so a pretty good selection in the end. Did anyone else have a pop from those?
                      Last edited by Kevin S; 07-10-2018, 21:23.


                        Millwalls 92nd minute equaliser at Forest last week after a floodlight failure had me fuming, had em with Atletico-Spurs-Dortmund in a 4 team acca.
                        On Croatia-Germany-Belarus-Belgium-Tranmere this weekend.


                          Updated - leagues by % BTTS this season

                          67% Swiss Super League
                          62% Bundesliga
                          61% Scotland L1
                          59% EFL L1
                          55% EFL Champ
                          54% Neth Eredivisie
                          54% Premier League
                          52% France Ligue 1
                          51% EFL L2, Spain La Liga

                          Tips for the weekend:

                          Sion v Grasshoppers (Sun)
                          Augsburg v RB Leipzig
                          Arbroath v Dumbarton
                          Montrose v Airdrie Utd
                          Peterborough v Accrington Stanley
                          Luton v Walsall
                          Reading v Millwall
                          FC Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar
                          Bury v Notts County
                          Eibar v Athletic Bilbao (Sun)


                            OK, well I have to give Arbroath and Millwall, who came through for me last time, another go.

                            This time I've added a fourth line. I'll probably pay for that.

                            BTTS accumulator: 5.83/1
                            Arbroath v Dumbarton
                            Luton v Walsall
                            Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar
                            Reading v Millwall


                              Pah, Walsall...


                                So seven of the eight teams in that bet scored, with just Walsall letting it down. Ah well. But overall the selection worked out like this:

                                N Sion v Grasshoppers (Sun)
                                N Augsburg v RB Leipzig
                                Y Arbroath v Dumbarton
                                N Montrose v Airdrie Utd
                                N Peterborough v Accrington Stanley
                                N Luton v Walsall
                                Y Reading v Millwall
                                Y FC Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar
                                N Bury v Notts County
                                Y Eibar v Athletic Bilbao (Sun)

                                An appalling 4 out of 10. Sorry to anyone who took me up on any of those.