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Throwing your money away - Betting 2018-19

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    Throwing your money away - Betting 2018-19

    Here we go again, then. Starting off with an ambitious and doomed-to-fail Championship treble of home wins.

    Trebles
    10.46/1
    Bristol City v Nottm Forest
    Ipswich Town v Blackburn
    Preston v QPR

    #2
    I'm putting an even-money (or thereabouts) double on each week. This week it's on Airdrie and Peterhead.

    Comment


      #3
      I've switched to 'both teams to score' (BTTS) multiples now. Annoyingly got four out of five last weekend so am dropping to a BTTS treble for Saturday:

      Portsmouth v Wycombe
      Aston Villa v Sheff Wed
      West Brom v Millwall

      But so far the only successful bet I've had out of six of late was Lewis Hamilton to win the Singapore GP.

      Comment


        #4
        This site is quite useful for BTTS statistics.

        Leagues sorted by % of matches where both teams scored so far this season:

        67% Bundesliga
        61% League One
        57%= Ligue 1, Premier League
        56%= Scottish League One, Eredivisie
        54% Championship
        50% Scottish Championship
        49%= La Liga, League Two
        42% Scottish Premier
        41% Serie A (though Milan and Sassuolo are honourable exceptions here)
        35% Scottish League Two
        Last edited by Kevin S; 28-09-2018, 11:05.

        Comment


          #5
          So, for my tips, I think this is a decent list to be selecting BTTS from this weekend:

          Hoffenheim v Fizzy Drink Leipzig
          Wolfsburg v Gladbach
          Walsall v Accrington Stanley
          Rochdale v Portsmouth
          Caen v Amiens
          Everton v Fulham
          Newcastle v Leicester
          Arsenal v Watford
          Arbroath v Airdrie
          Dumbarton v Raith
          Heerenveen v ADO Den Haag
          Heracles v FC Emmen
          Blackburn v Nottm Forest
          Last edited by Kevin S; 28-09-2018, 11:18.

          Comment


            #6
            And I'm going for four matches:

            Arbroath v Airdrie
            Caen v Amiens
            Walsall v Accrington
            Wolfsburg v Mgladbach

            Which comes to 7.64/1.

            Comment


              #7
              Ha, a goal apiece in the German game after 12 mins.

              Thinking about it a bit, I like BTTS because

              a) As soon as both teams have scored, it's in the bank - unlike e.g. backing a winning team who throw it away,
              b) Your bets are also technically alive right up to the final whistle.

              Comment


                #8
                Only two of the four right on my coupon last weekend, oops. Overall, my tips worked out with 8 correct and 5 not, so that wasn't very good either.

                Y Hoffenheim v Fizzy Drink Leipzig
                Y Wolfsburg v Gladbach
                N Walsall v Accrington Stanley
                Y Rochdale v Portsmouth
                N Caen v Amiens
                N Everton v Fulham
                N Newcastle v Leicester
                N Arsenal v Watford
                Y Arbroath v Airdrie
                Y Dumbarton v Raith
                Y Heerenveen v ADO Den Haag
                Y Heracles v FC Emmen
                Y Blackburn v Nottm Forest

                Comment


                  #9
                  What do I like this weekend, then? Here's ten suggestions for BTTS.

                  Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg (Friday)
                  Hoffenheim v Eintracht Frankfurt
                  Airdrie Utd v Brechin
                  Raith v Arbroath
                  Millwall v Aston Villa
                  Norwich v Stoke
                  FC Emmen v Fortuna Sittard
                  Leicester v Everton
                  Neuchatel Xamax v FC Sion
                  St Gallen v Basel

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Just picked the three, at 3.13/1:

                    Millwall v Aston Villa
                    Raith v Arbroath
                    Emmen v Fortuna Sittard

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Winner!

                      And of the overall tips:

                      N Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg (Friday)
                      Y Hoffenheim v Eintracht Frankfurt
                      Y Airdrie Utd v Brechin
                      Y Raith v Arbroath
                      Y Millwall v Aston Villa
                      N Norwich v Stoke
                      Y FC Emmen v Fortuna Sittard
                      Y Leicester v Everton
                      Y Neuchatel Xamax v FC Sion
                      Y St Gallen v Basel

                      That's 8/10, so a pretty good selection in the end. Did anyone else have a pop from those?
                      Last edited by Kevin S; 07-10-2018, 21:23.

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Millwalls 92nd minute equaliser at Forest last week after a floodlight failure had me fuming, had em with Atletico-Spurs-Dortmund in a 4 team acca.
                        On Croatia-Germany-Belarus-Belgium-Tranmere this weekend.

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Updated - leagues by % BTTS this season

                          67% Swiss Super League
                          62% Bundesliga
                          61% Scotland L1
                          59% EFL L1
                          55% EFL Champ
                          54% Neth Eredivisie
                          54% Premier League
                          52% France Ligue 1
                          51% EFL L2, Spain La Liga
                          _________________________


                          Tips for the weekend:

                          Sion v Grasshoppers (Sun)
                          Augsburg v RB Leipzig
                          Arbroath v Dumbarton
                          Montrose v Airdrie Utd
                          Peterborough v Accrington Stanley
                          Luton v Walsall
                          Reading v Millwall
                          FC Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar
                          Bury v Notts County
                          Eibar v Athletic Bilbao (Sun)

                          Comment


                            #14
                            OK, well I have to give Arbroath and Millwall, who came through for me last time, another go.

                            This time I've added a fourth line. I'll probably pay for that.

                            BTTS accumulator: 5.83/1
                            Arbroath v Dumbarton
                            Luton v Walsall
                            Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar
                            Reading v Millwall

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Pah, Walsall...

                              Comment


                                #16
                                So seven of the eight teams in that bet scored, with just Walsall letting it down. Ah well. But overall the selection worked out like this:

                                N Sion v Grasshoppers (Sun)
                                N Augsburg v RB Leipzig
                                Y Arbroath v Dumbarton
                                N Montrose v Airdrie Utd
                                N Peterborough v Accrington Stanley
                                N Luton v Walsall
                                Y Reading v Millwall
                                Y FC Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar
                                N Bury v Notts County
                                Y Eibar v Athletic Bilbao (Sun)

                                An appalling 4 out of 10. Sorry to anyone who took me up on any of those.

                                Comment

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