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    Last Covid-19-free country / territory

    Right, it's been mentioned on the main Covid-19 thread, but in the spirit of the OTF deadpool, this is a prediction thread for which country / territory will be the last to announce a confirmed case of Covid-19.

    I will bag Madagascar. Greenland and Pitcairn have previously been mentioned in this context too.

    There are currently 236 countries / territories that have reported cases. They are:

    Afghanistan
    Albania
    Algeria
    American Samoa
    Andorra
    Angola
    Anguilla
    Antarctica
    Antigua and Barbuda
    Argentina
    Armenia
    Aruba Ascension Island
    Australia
    Austria
    Azerbaijan
    Bahamas
    Bahrain
    Bangladesh
    Barbados
    Belarus
    ​​​​​Belgium
    ​​​​​​Belize
    Benin
    Bermuda
    Bhutan
    Bolivia
    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    Botswana
    Brazil
    British Virgin Islands
    Brunei
    Bulgaria
    Burkina Faso
    Burundi
    Cabo Verde
    Cambodia
    Cameroon
    Canada
    Caribbean Netherlands
    Cayman Islands
    Central African Republic
    Chad
    Channel Islands
    Chile
    China
    Colombia
    Comoros
    Congo Cook Islands
    Costa Rica
    Croatia
    Cuba
    Curacao
    Cyprus
    Czechia
    Denmark
    ​​​​​Djibouti
    Dominica
    Dominican Republic
    Democratic Republic of Congo
    Easter Island
    Ecuador
    Egypt
    El Salvador
    Equatorial Guinea
    Eritrea
    Estonia
    Eswatini
    Ethiopia
    Faeroe Islands
    Falkland Islands
    Fiji
    Finland
    France
    French Guiana
    French Polynesia
    Gabon
    Georgia
    Germany
    Ghana
    Gibraltar
    Greece
    Greenland
    Grenada
    Guadeloupe
    Guam
    Guatemala
    Guinea
    Guinea-Bissau
    Guyana
    Haiti
    Honduras
    Hong Kong
    Hungary
    Iceland
    India
    Indonesia
    Iran
    Iraq
    Ireland
    Isle of Man
    Israel
    Italy
    Ivory Coast
    Jamaica
    Japan
    Jordan
    Kazakhstan
    Kenya
    Kiribati
    Kuwait
    Kyrgyzstan
    Laos
    Latvia
    Lebanon
    Lesotho
    Liberia
    ​​​​​​Libya
    Liechtenstein
    Lithuania
    Luxembourg
    Macao
    Madagascar
    Malawi
    Malaysia
    Maldives
    Mali
    Malta
    Marshall Islands
    Martinique
    Mauritania
    Mauritius
    Mayotte
    Mexico
    Micronesia
    Moldova
    Monaco
    Mongolia
    Montserrat
    Montenegro
    Morocco
    Mozambique
    Myanmar
    Namibia Nauru
    Nepal
    Netherlands
    New Caledonia
    New Zealand
    Nicaragua
    Niger
    Nigeria
    Northern Mariana Islands North Korea
    North Macedonia
    Norway
    Oman
    Pakistan
    Palau
    Palestine
    Panama
    Papua New Guinea
    Paraguay
    Peru
    Philippines Pitcairn Island
    Poland
    Portugal
    ​​​​​​Puerto Rico
    Qatar
    Reunion
    Romania
    Russia
    Rwanda
    Saint Helena
    Saint Kitts and Nevis
    Saint Lucia
    Saint Martin
    Saint Pierre and Miquelon
    Samoa
    San Marino
    Sao Tome and Principe
    Saudi Arabia
    Senegal
    Serbia
    Seychelles
    Sierra Leone
    Singapore
    Sint Maarten
    Slovakia
    Slovenia
    Solomon Islands
    Somalia
    South Africa
    South Korea
    South Sudan
    Spain
    Sri Lanka
    St Barth
    St Vincent Grenadines
    Sudan
    Suriname
    Sweden
    Switzerland
    Syria
    Taiwan
    Tajikistan
    Tanzania
    Thailand
    The Gambia
    Timor-Leste
    Togo
    Tokelau
    Tonga
    Trinidad and Tobago
    Tunisia
    Turkey
    Turks and Caicos Tuvalu
    Uganda
    United Arab Emirates
    United Kingdom
    Ukraine
    Uruguay
    USA
    US Virgin Islands
    Uzbekistan
    Vanuatu
    Vatican City
    Venezuela
    Vietnam
    Wallis and Futuna
    Western Sahara
    Yemen
    Zambia
    Zimbabwe

    Nominations are now closed. Those still in the game:

    Ursus arctos: Tristan da Cunha

    Losers (in order of exiting):

    1st: Amor de Cosmos: Venezuela
    2nd: Vicarious Thrillseeker: Tanzania
    3rd: fatbear: Greenland
    4th: CY_Boaby: Chad
    5th: Balderdasha: Madagascar
    6th: Auntie Beryl: Turks and Caicos Islands
    7th: Bordeaux Education: Easter Island
    8th: Etienne: Las Malvinas / Falkland Islands
    9th: Sporting: South Sudan
    10th: G-man: Lesotho
    11th: San Bernardinault: Wallis and Futuna
    12th: Diable Rouge: Marshall Islands
    13th: hobbes: Vanuatu
    14th: Wouter D: Samoa
    15th: Crystal Staples: the Federated States of Micronesia
    16th: ​​​​​​Sam: Saint Helena
    17th: Antepli Ejderha: Tonga
    18th: Sean of the Shed: Kiribati
    19th: delicatemoth: Ascension Island 20th: Various Artist: the Cook Islands
    21st: lambers: Nauru
    22nd: longeared: North Korea
    23rd: Stobart: Tuvalu
    24th: ​​​​​​Greenlander: Pitcairn
    25th: tee rex: Tokelau

    Late or joke losers:

    1st: tee rex: Dahomey / Benin (joke entry)
    2nd: Diable Rouge: Isle of Man (late entry)
    3rd: elguapo4: Laos (late entry)
    4th: Amor de Cosmos: Saint Pierre et Miquelon (late entry)
    5th: Amor de Cosmos: Canada's Northern territories, Yukon, NWT and Nunavut (not a joke, but also not a country)
    6th: Hot Pepsi: Antarctica 7th: anton pulisov: Svalbard
    8th: Hot Pepsi: Wakanda
    ​​​​
    Outlier / joke suggestions:

    San Bernardinault: obscure southern ocean island-territories that only have temporary populations, like South Orkney, Crozet, Bouvet, Kerguelen and so on...
    Various Artist: International Space Station
    Guy Profumo: Sealand


    Last edited by Balderdasha; 11-04-2023, 15:08.

    #2
    Tristan da Cunha

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      #3
      North Korea

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        #4
        South Sudan

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          #5
          Las Malvinas.

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            #6
            Wallis and Futuna (only because the Bear took Tristan)

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              #7
              Not changing my choice but no cases yet in Uruguay or Saudi Arabia.

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                #8
                I was certain that one of us would have one, and the other the other

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                  #9
                  Originally posted by Sporting View Post
                  Not changing my choice but no cases yet in Uruguay or Saudi Arabia.
                  https://m.khaleejtimes.com/coronavir...virus-recovery

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                    #10
                    Nauru

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                      #11
                      Venezuela (though I actually think it'll be North Korea.)

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                        #12
                        I'm presuming we're not allowed obscure southern ocean island-territories that only have temporary populations, like South Orkney, Crozet, Bouvet, Kerguelen and so on...

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                          #13
                          Originally posted by San Bernardhinault View Post
                          I'm presuming we're not allowed obscure southern ocean island-territories that only have temporary populations, like South Orkney, Crozet, Bouvet, Kerguelen and so on...
                          I think it has to be somewhere with a permanent population, though good try.

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                            #14
                            Originally posted by Amor de Cosmos View Post
                            Venezuela (though I actually think it'll be North Korea.)
                            Venezuela just announced two cases. You have the dubious honour of being the first loser of this game.

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                              #15
                              I will wear my wooden medal proudly

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                                #16
                                A major Pacific Island festival has been cancelled this weekend in Auckland, not so much because of concerns in NZ but more the risk of exporting the virus to one of the island nations/territories.

                                So far only Tahiti (French Polynesia) has joined the list from that region. I'll go with Tokelau, which is only accessible by sea (no flights).

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                                  #17
                                  My understanding is that it's pretty important to keep Pacific Islands clear if possible - there's often very inadequate medical care, and very long transport links to get to acceptable care; along with people living in close quarters on the islands; along with their relative isolation meaning that they generally have lower immunity levels than the rest of us.

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                                    #18
                                    That's absolutely right. They are screwed if it lands.

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                                      #19
                                      Marshall Islands.

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                                        #20
                                        Lesotho

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                                          #21
                                          I suggested Pitcairn before and I suggest it again.

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                                            #22
                                            Sealand!

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                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Sporting View Post
                                              Not changing my choice but no cases yet in Uruguay or Saudi Arabia.
                                              Actually, this is an even stranger statement than I first thought. There have been 86 cases in Saudi Arabia so far.

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                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ursus arctos View Post
                                                Tristan da Cunha
                                                Bastard.

                                                Ascension Island.

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                                                  #25
                                                  Vanuatu

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